by geekor » Tue Jul 24, 2007 4:16 pm
I don't believe in all that at all.
Look, first off unless your bullpen was 10-50, which I doubt, it doesn't necessarily mean it was a bad bullpen. 1 run games to me are a good show of the luck factor. 1 good roll (or bad if you're on the other side of it) can mean the difference between a W and a L in those close games. I use the 1 run game to show who was lucky and who was not. Almost always when you see a team with a poor run differential but a good record, their record in 1 run games are very good, ie they have been lucky.
That being said, let's talk about bullpens. The amount you spend isn't a set number, it had many determining factors. If your ballpark is a hitters paradise, you typically want more $$ invested in your bullpen since your starters won't last as long, and less $$ invested in your SP's for that reason. I've gotten away with good sp's and a very cheap bullpen in parks like Shea.
There really needs to be more details to give a good answer.