by Mean Dean » Sun Aug 12, 2007 9:10 pm
[b:342e6a06c9]geekor[/b:342e6a06c9], I agreed with you for a long time, but I've now concluded that the plate-blocking scenario comes up often enough, and is significant enough when it occurs (changing a run into an out -- a much bigger deal than having a guy on 2nd rather than 1st, which is all SB defense is), that it can add up to something substantial. My research suggests that each point of catcher range is worth about four runs, give or take one or two. [url=http://forums-beta.sportingnews.com/viewtopic.php?t=251327]See my post in the "strategy" section for details.[/url] I have not tested arm yet.
(How plate-blocking works: There's a 10% chance on any throw to the plate that plate-blocking will determine the result. Thinking in terms of dice, if the runner has, let's say, a 1-14 chance to score, then a "14" or "15" roll means plate-blocking is in effect. If one of those numbers is rolled, the chance of the runner then being safe is:
1 range catcher: 10%
2: 30%
3: 50%
4: 70%
5: 90%)