by cummings2 » Sun Apr 02, 2006 9:01 pm
So...you H&R and bunt more often to avoid injuries? hmmmm...well, considering the bunt is pretty much an out with the chance (10%) of turning into a single and the H&R, in the most optimal condition leaves the hitter with 27% chance of a hit from the charts then we have to deduce the hitter at risk of injury is extremely valuable defensively and offensively he's almost irrelevant.
Well, the fielder better be a 2B or a SS with a 1 rating and low errors and have an injury of 5 or 6, still both those strategies can only be used with a man on base, the H&R can not run with a man on 3rd, considering the fielder is not a good hitter, it is likely he'll hit lower in the LU, if the LU is arranged in a fairly conventional way, the OBP ahead of him will be the lower in the team, therefore the ammount of times the hitter will actually "benefit" from the injury protecting strategy will be much lower than expected. My feeling is the injury will still happen and in the mean time the strategy will backfire on the offensive production.
Another point to consider is that other than Pokey Reese and Adam Everett in the 05 set I don't see any good defensive player injury prone worth protecting, and those two are not particularily ideal to either bunt or hit and run. Personally I think their mere prescence already hurts the offense, they don't need my help for that.
What I do with injury prone players is that I drop them in the order to reduce their ABs. That's all. Just My Opinion though, I am sure you'll get good results from trying it.