by LMBombers » Sun Dec 02, 2007 5:22 pm
[quote:0ac16f9dbc="Terry101"]You could look at from the point of view of your whole pitching staff. This is what you could expect. Your pitching staff will face a DH around 650 times, so you would expect around 3 injury draws per staff per year. (ranging from remainder to 15 games out)[/quote:0ac16f9dbc]
That is what I'm saying. Lets say that your DH has an injury on a 2 or 12. How ever many times he bats he will have the exact same chance of injury as the pitcher he is facing. Therefore the DH [b:0ac16f9dbc]AND[/b:0ac16f9dbc] the pitcher he would be facing would have the same chance of injury throughout the season.
There are some reasons that you may think that pitchers are injured less often than hitters.
1. All hitters do not have an injury on a 2 or 12 only. Some hitters will have their injury occurance on a 3, 4 or even higher number which is more likely to be rolled. All pitcher injuries occur on a 2 or 12 only.
2. Many SP cards are from seasons where they pitched 200 IP or more. On those seasons they can only become injured for 3 games max, meaning that they will not even miss a start. The only net result would be being pulled from the current game early. That is hardly felt. RP, who obviously pitched less than 200 IP may only face the DH as a group 1 or 2 times per game. Therefore they have less opportunities of becoming injured in the first place. However all pitchers as a whole have the SAME chance of injury as your DH in my above example.
3. When pitchers do get injured their loss is not usually felt as much a hitter because you will generally have 4 more RP that will take up the slack or one of your best RP is generally slated to start a game missed by your SP if he has to miss a start. It has been my experience that the RP generally does pretty darn well when forced to start. On the other hand when your starting SS (or any position player) is injured and you have to use a sub 1M backup player you really see the impact of that.