by PossibleJohn » Sun Mar 05, 2006 12:39 pm
Great hitting, but your pitching won't hold up, I'm thinking.
1. Weakness against switch hitters, especially power switch hitters. Greinke is the exception, but I just wouldn't trust Greinke in SkyDome, considering his BP homers. I think you SPs will lose a lot of games for you, before the bullpen gets a chance to factor into it.
2. A lot of ballpark homers in your starting rotation, especially considering your park and the parks in your division. You've got good defense up the middle, so I'd go with a non-* starting rotation (mixture of * and non-* tends to dilute your value overall), there are usually decent-quality non-* SPs available, and usually someone will give you a quality non-* starter for Willis, and I'd go instead with guys who might put runners on 1st a LITTLE more often, but give up less BP homers (Mulder or Weaver types), and rely on your strength up the middle to get your SPs out of jams, and also fish the FA pool for some reverse pitchers (RHP better vs. lefties, LHP better vs. righties).
3. I agree with a comment made above--it's difficult to win with Beltran. He is not one of the better values, IMHO.