by J-Pav » Thu Apr 26, 2007 10:09 am
[b:e63b4d7d3b]Deezenuts[/b:e63b4d7d3b] & [b:e63b4d7d3b]Terry[/b:e63b4d7d3b]:
I can't quote the source (I don't remember the book), but it's been written that, mathematically speaking, the best baseball lineup consists of what in the strato world would be nine $5m hitters (that is, equal contributors). Because of the limited availability of salaries at each position, this was impossible to do in '06 (although it's easier this year).
Although the nine hitter gets 80% of the PAs of the leadoff hitter, in the SOM salary scheme, 80% of $5 is only a dollar less. So you now have 6, 6, 6, 5, 5, 5, 4, 4, 4, which isn't all that much a stretch from all 5s. However, with limited salaries, the fractions between four and five dollars make a big difference. If the three "$6 guys" you want actually cost $20.25, that extra $2.25 needs to come from somewhere else. If it comes from your three $4 guys, that $12 has been reduced by almost 20%.
Now throw in a bargain (the DH), which is a SS4 that can hit like a $4 cheapie but can be had for two fitty because of the poor defense. Additional bargains include efficiently used platoons, undervalued players, etc. All of these considerations affect the salary structure, which started out with "let's get all 5s" but ended up looking like "get five 8s and some cheapies."
So, the "good hitting through the lineup" is what we're all after, but "good hitting" is very much in the eye of the beholder.
Back on topic...
[b:e63b4d7d3b]Jerry[/b:e63b4d7d3b]:
I know you weren't calling me out personally, but yes, that was me crying in my beer in the [i:e63b4d7d3b]Skill or Chance[/i:e63b4d7d3b] thread. I was extremely frustrated that poorly constructed lineups built by beginner managers were not just beating me, but sweeping me in a well designed home ballpark. It took me more than three fourths of the card season to realize that '06 had much less to do with the player cards and everything to do with the ballparks.
I typically try to win in as many ballpark environments as possible. I won in Safeco and The Cell right off the bat and so moved to Petco, where I floundered for what seemed like [i:e63b4d7d3b]forever[/i:e63b4d7d3b]. Crappy teams were pounding me left and right. Once Bernie's winning ballparks post came out, :idea: , I realized I was looking east for the sunset. Once safely back in Ameriquest, Safeco and PNC, the wins came pouring in like the days of old.
That's why I'm wondering if Bernie's crew posted the '06 ballpark win pcts, and then intentionally took away the extreme ballpark advantages for '07. Managerial skill is now more important than simple ballpark selection.
I'm enjoying '07 so far, each new team is better than the one before it for the most part, so all seems right with the universe again.
:D
Last edited by
J-Pav on Thu Apr 26, 2007 1:22 pm, edited 2 times in total.