by PAULMINICUCCI » Wed Mar 01, 2006 7:07 pm
Game (ATG II, 2005, etc.)
Strat 2005
- Team Name
NorCal Baseball 5
- Game # (1-162)
Game 68
- What happened
It is the top of the ninth. Estes (who is terrific in pitcher parks-never knew that) pitched a fine game a three hit one unearned run game, we are up 3 to 1. HAL pulls Estes, a great decision, I have Estes set to 6 innings max, and he has thrown 131 pitches. So HAL looks at the opposition line-up and sees LH Blalock and puts in Ray King. Perfect. Blalock gets a single, on first. Texiera up. He pulls King and puts in Hoffman, my closer. My closer is at “normal” and Hoffman is listed as closer for both sides. Okay. Not what I would have done see below. Tex lines out. One away. Now it gets strange. HAL puts in Walker to face Burnitz, who flies out. Then HAL pulls Walker and sends in Brower, my worst BP option to face RH Rodriquez who is an E hitter. He singles, then Brower gives up another single to Beltran. Glanville runs for Rodriquez. Then Hansen pinch hits for Renteria. He walks loading the bases. Mabry is up, wild pitch and run scores to tie. Walk Mabry INT and he gets out of the inning retiring Hernandez.
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- Why you think it was a poor decision
Okay. First the obvious, why lift Hoffman? Well it seems he pitched 1/3 inning (11 pitches) in game 67. He gave up 2 hits in a 2-0 loss. In that game he relieved Peavy after 7 who was fatigued, but instead of using King first he goes to the closer in a non-close situation. Now before you say “Well you had the setting at normal and that’s what HAL does,” bear with me. I had been frustrated because HAL had been using Sanchez at every turn. I had Hoffman set as closer for both sides but with a setting of “maximize.” Hoffman had pitched in less than ten innings and King less than that. Meantime HAL has used Dauner Sanchez and Mesa to a ridiculous point (in IMO).
Here is Sanchez’s line, and he had six blown saves.
TOTAL 24 5 3 5 32.1 54 21 21 15 5.84 2.32
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- I was so frustrated at HAL using Sanchez in one save situation after another and every other situation, I wanted to get Hoffman more work. I have Hoffman at 1-2 innings max and do not use before 8th.
So, I thought HAL could have used King the previous night, he did use him, but not after using Hoffman first even though King is a set-up man and Hoffman the closer. The other point is that Hoffman had pitched a total of 2 innings in eight appearances in the past 18 games, not exactly over-worked and a vacation compared to Sanchez. Brower had gotten shelled in game 66, yes I know the sim doesn’t use that info it only knows the 2004 stats.
Now I had just gotten Brower by dropping Mesa, who HAL just loves. His stats are as follows:
TOTAL 36 1 4 2 35.1 46 21 13 18 5.35 1.67
So I said hell, Sanchez and Mesa have pitched in 60 combined games in 68 played. They kept getting shelled. So frustration got the better part of me. King and Hoffman get overlooked.
So back to game 68. So lifting Hoffman was bad decision. He has aC6 rating, seems to me he is not fatigued even having appeared in game 67. It is also a clear case for the closer to be in. Also, HAL does not have a lot of options left. He has Brower and Walker. It seems like he needs to be more conservation oriented here, so he doesn’t run out of pitchers in a close game. As it is Brower had to finish the game and we lost 6-3. The frustration is this is a team with good defense, great ERA, I get a great game from Estes and I have confidence that Hoffman would have gotten the job done. Brower was not listed in my settings, Hoffman as the closer.
- (relevant settings; game situation; bullpen rest status) see above.
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- What you think would've been better
He should have either stuck with King. Texiera is a 1L and Burnitz on deck, I would have let King go one more hitter, especially with Burnitz on deck or brought in Hoffman and let him pitch. Going to Walker would not have been my choice. I might have used Walker before King, but this is a set-up situation so using King makes sense.
So I dropped Brower and Sanchez and have Ortiz who is serviceable in relief. Azcevedo is being “hidden” I admit.
Part of the frustration is I am finally getting good at this dang game, have all five of my teams in first place, one by nine and one by seven and this PetCo team started great. I used a lot of analysis in putting it together, and you can see it is hitting .288 after 68 games and in second place in hitting stats for the league. I think that’s fabulous. Unfortunately it has lost a bunch of one and two run games late in the game. So, trying to conserve my lead makes me a bit edgy.
One thing I have been dying to say is that you should really look at the overall proclivity of HAL to use certain RPs. I have Mesa on a bunch of teams and HAL uses him all the time. Yan is another one who has been great for me. Walker and Witasick as well.
I am not saying HAL always messes up but sometimes it is inexplicable.
Another thing that would be great is to get a thread going with some of the vets like Marcus, Biomechanical, PBTR, etc. and do a “Guide to Relief Pitching in Strat.”
Thanks for letting us get a chance to vent.