by Mean Dean » Sat Feb 03, 2007 3:34 pm
Well, at least he doesn't get any worse when he has to hold a baserunner :shock:
1B(X) will come up about 0.93% of the time. If your team has 6,264 plate appearances against (looking at 2006 team stats, this seems like a reasonable number -- 38.7 per game), you'd have about 58 1B(X)s. Of those 58 against Ortiz, you'd expect about 17 to be SI**; 6 to be SI*; 12 to be groundballs if he's not holding on a runner at the time or playing in, but SI** if he is doing either one of those; 14 to be gbC (runner advances); 6 to be gbB (fielder's choice); and 3 to be gbA (double plays.) So, average all that out (easier said than done), subtract it from his hitting, and that's what his overall worth is when you play him in the field. (I'd guess that his price is based on his DHing, so it would also be costing you money, in the sense that you could get a better overall player -- less offense, but less toxic defense -- for less money.)