by MARCPELLETIER » Wed Mar 21, 2007 8:27 pm
SPs [i:50cff224a0][b:50cff224a0]who do not get injured[/b:50cff224a0][/i:50cff224a0] usually starts only 34 games, because 95% of the coaches prefer keeping their 5-men rotation intact even when a breakday kicks in.
Consider Santana, for example. Best starter by far of the Twins, if not of the league. In 2006, he started on the first game of the season. Here is his schedule:
Tue 04 Santana
Wed 05 #2
Thur 06 #3
Fri 07 #4
Sat 08 #5
Sun 09 Santana (on his regular shift)
Mon 10 BREAK
Tue 11 #2 (makes sense)
Wed 12 #3
Thur 13 #4
Frid 14 #5 ?????????
Sat 15 Santana (on his 6th day)
In this example, Santana started on his 6th day, instead of starting on his regular 5-day shift (which would have been Friday the 14th).
In my opinion, this makes no sense. If Santana is not hurt, he should be starting every game he can, even if this implies having your #5 skipping a few days.
When you go through the schedule, if you were to give Santana his start every 5-day, without ever skipping a day (except for cancelled games or breaks already planned in the schedule) then Santana would end up with 36 starts, perhaps even 37 starts if you accept to squeeze him in once or twice on a 4-day schedule to avoid having his 5th day fall on a breakday.
It is my humble opinion that 37 starts per season (once every 5 game without ever skipping, with 2 4-day starts in the course of the season) is a very realistic objective [b:50cff224a0]IF the skippers were acting intelligently[/b:50cff224a0]!!!
On this regard, 40 starts is closer to 37 starts than is 32 starts.
Of course, this holds only if the starter doesn't get hurt. Where Som is really NOT realistic, it is in not providing more injuries to pitchers. In leagues such as TSN-SOM, I would mind having the game being more realistic about this. Say, have the *SP rule, but force in some 1-week injuries so that most pitchers get in the 38/39 starts.