by durantjerry » Sat Apr 21, 2007 4:19 pm
For what it's worth, I think you made a mistake, turning down my offer of Reyes for Dye. I have since traded him for Vlad, so I'm speaking impartially. You answered my trade proposal by comparing Dye's OBP to Reyes' by saying you didn't want to take the OBP hit. I believe this is not correct. You are not taking into account the fact that Reyes being held on increases the chances of your second batter getting a hit. You are also not factoring in the fact that Dye may miss a good amount of games compared to Reyes, and Dye's replacement is unlikely to put up the same numbers. Lastly, you would get an OBP upgrade when you replace Uribe with a new RF. Afetr all these factors are considered, I think you would probably gain in the OPB category. Aside from this, as myself and someone else pointed out, you really could use a top of the order hitter and Reyes is pretty good IMO in a hitting park, where his power is a factor. I am getting the following results in Coors:
255 47 85 19 5 5 32 12 37 14 5 0 .333 .361 .506
I would take that almost every time from my leadoff guy.