Changing Luck?? Time to Retire??
Posted: Mon Jul 16, 2007 10:23 amI'm closing in on my 5th year of SOM with TSN, and everytime you think you've seen everything - something new comes along to surprise you.
Last night I won my 3rd 2007 championship.
Yeah I know most of you are saying big deal or so what ... 4 other owners already have 3 Rings in 07.
Well this was my 3rd consecutive 07 ring. Yeah I know - its still nothing special - already been done in 07 by Jamie399. Heck even an amateur like myself has had back to back titles before ...
However what makes this new & surprising to me is that it was only my 3rd 07 squad. In other words each of my first 3 teams have made the playoffs, and each of them made the finals, and each of them won a Championship.
The last time something similar to that happened was in the 02 card set where my first 5 squads all made the playoffs. However only 1 made the Finals and 0 won Championships. Heck I had to wait until my 11th 02 squad made the playoffs before I got a championship.
Every other year in every other SOM format (meaning excluding 02 & 07), my 1st team finished with a losing record. It seemed as though it took a long time every year to get a title, heck I still don't have a ring in BTT80s yet.
Of my first 69 teams to make the playoffs - only 9 won titles. Thats a lousy 13%, when on average you should expect to win 25% (since of course there are only 4 playoff teams).
However of the last 40 teams to make the playoffs, I've won 15 titles. A much nicer 37% of the time. My average is still under 25%, as 24 of 109 is 22% but you can see that my luck has changed.
Perhaps it is time to retire - I certainly cannot see my luck getting any better! I mean 3 championships out of your 1st 3 teams - has anyone else done that?
Last night I won my 3rd 2007 championship.
Yeah I know most of you are saying big deal or so what ... 4 other owners already have 3 Rings in 07.
Well this was my 3rd consecutive 07 ring. Yeah I know - its still nothing special - already been done in 07 by Jamie399. Heck even an amateur like myself has had back to back titles before ...
However what makes this new & surprising to me is that it was only my 3rd 07 squad. In other words each of my first 3 teams have made the playoffs, and each of them made the finals, and each of them won a Championship.
The last time something similar to that happened was in the 02 card set where my first 5 squads all made the playoffs. However only 1 made the Finals and 0 won Championships. Heck I had to wait until my 11th 02 squad made the playoffs before I got a championship.
Every other year in every other SOM format (meaning excluding 02 & 07), my 1st team finished with a losing record. It seemed as though it took a long time every year to get a title, heck I still don't have a ring in BTT80s yet.
Of my first 69 teams to make the playoffs - only 9 won titles. Thats a lousy 13%, when on average you should expect to win 25% (since of course there are only 4 playoff teams).
However of the last 40 teams to make the playoffs, I've won 15 titles. A much nicer 37% of the time. My average is still under 25%, as 24 of 109 is 22% but you can see that my luck has changed.
Perhaps it is time to retire - I certainly cannot see my luck getting any better! I mean 3 championships out of your 1st 3 teams - has anyone else done that?