by MARCPELLETIER » Tue Apr 11, 2006 4:05 am
Not likely for now.
I want to switch from my old formulas to the new formulas as provided by tangotiger and his gang in his "BOOK" (see strategy section for more details). So I have to re-do my formulas. But, after doing a first draft, it seems that TSN has done a wonderful this year again in doing their pricing structure.
Which is not surprising, TSN has increasingly better its payroll structure in the last few years, and from a first look, this year is no exception.
There is no more Dubose, no more Santos, anymore.
In my opinion, it's not bargain-purchasing anymore that makes a winning club, so I don't think it's worth to do my ratings in the way I did it before. It is my opinion that the TSN pricing structure is reliable enough to have confidence that, in normal settings, player X at 5M will indeed be better than player Y at 4.5M.
Other strategies nowadays must be chosen to have a championship ballclub, including team fitting to the home stadium, line-up maximization (have the right player for each slot in the line-up, like high on-base for lead-off, superior middle-infield defense with no bat for 9th slot; like sufficient relievers), capacity to exploit divisional weaknesses, and best overall roster structure.
That being said, if you want my gut-feelings, here it is:
--I still think that walks are slightly undervalued, especially for power hitters. So a player like Frank Thomas is pretty high in my favour.
--I think it's pretty clear that very poor defender who has a good bat are cheap if you use them at dh (Peralta, Gomes, Soriano).
---First basemen are, again, too expensive as a group (so, in my opinion, if you can spent 79M on other positions, do it).
---One-inning reliever appear--again --a bit cheap with regards to two-innings relievers.
---I think you have more upsides than downsides in having a cheap ss-1 that you can put in the ninth slot.