So, whats changed? Bring out the brooms

[216 Stitches]

Has anyone else noticed that Salt's threads are getting swept more
and more by Nev's threads?

I don't know if its a conspiracy, I'm just saying,...

[ADRIANGABRIEL]

Since ATG IV, I've felt like it's more of a sweep and be swept game.

[bkeat23]

[quote:14a667d5f0="El-Saltman"]OMFG-

I feel soooooo smalllll!!!!

and before anyone else gets to it:

"thats what she said!"[/quote:14a667d5f0]

But the water was cold!!! :P

[george barnard]

It's not the size of the broom, but how you sweep.

[Valen]

I had gone 10 straight series to open the season without any team sweeping. So what happens when you create this thread? I get swept last night. Thanks salty. :evil:

[hamlin2060]

I have only been playing a couple of years now.but agree and have noticed also the number of times sweeps are occurring has increased. Used to be fairly rare it seemed...now it happens often, at least that is my perceptiion as well

I missed the play-offs recently when I got swept 3 out of the last four series and I swept the other guy in the 4th one. Had a 5 game lead with 12 left and got caught and passed.

[Proverbial Psalms]

In the case where teams are equally matched, i.e. teams with 50/50 chance of winning each game, the math says 25% of all series should be sweeps. :wink:

[warrenbob52]

I think the rest of the som community is just cathing up to me I think I am the King of getting swept,home away I am an equal opportunity sweepee.

[Salty]

[quote:bccc9dba48="wjanssen"]In the case where teams are equally matched, i.e. teams with 50/50 chance of winning each game, the math says 25% of all series should be sweeps. :wink:[/quote:bccc9dba48]

Yep, gotcha here- but until recently I wasnt seeing anywhere close to 25% of my series being sweeps one way or the other.

In fact, out of 15-20 teams I might see 1 or 2 sweeps a night- if it was more than that I would always notice.
I saw 8 the other night.

the only other time I remember seeing so many is when there was a programming glitch and all the staters had gotten removed after 1 inning.

[216 Stitches]

To expand on what Bill mentioned,... 25% is the chance of seeing a sweep
when everything is equal, but when the the chance for a matchup
is uneven (due to ballparks, pitching-hitting matchups, strength of
rosters, etc, in all combination) the chances only go up...

Chance of :
winning a single game for each side ==> seeing a sweep


50/50 ==> 0.25
52.5/47.5 ==> 0.252
55/45 ==> 0.258
57.5/43.5 ==> 0.267
60/40 ==> 0.28
62.5/37.5 ==> 0.300
65/35 ==> 0.318
67.5/32.5 ==> 0.342
70/30 ==> 0.37

I doubt individual game matchups get beyond 70/30 in strat very often,
but thats just my gut feeling from what I have seen.

Over 54 series in a season, the expected sweeps would increase
from 13.5 to 19 over the range of matchups shown.

I have been seeing 16-19 sweeps with my recent finished teams,
with teams leaning more with one type of ballpark being on the high
end with the more balanced attacks being on the low end. No surprises
and no conspiracies.

In fact, if you saw only 25% sweeps, that would be unusual.