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How Accurate is Diamond Dope?
Posted:
Thu Oct 27, 2005 2:39 pmby JohnnyBlazers
I using the match-up analyzer I noticed that every time you hit the "Go" key, the results change. Am I missing something? Thanks
Posted:
Thu Oct 27, 2005 2:47 pmby egvrich
No, that reflects the randomness of the rolls.
A better tool is the card analyzer which shows you the number of chances out of 108 of each event occuring.
Posted:
Thu Oct 27, 2005 2:52 pmby JohnnyBlazers
An example of what I was talking about is George Brett vs Marquard @ Baker Bowl. I got a low of .298 avg & a high of .435. Thanks for explaining this
Posted:
Thu Oct 27, 2005 4:31 pmby The Last Druid
I had the same problem when I first started using diamond dope.
Since we are dealing only with probability the explanation "that reflects the randomness of the rolls" doesn't make a whole lot of sense. The whole point is what are the apriori probabilites before the dice get rolled. Coach may be right, however, in his explanation of what is actually occuring. It is just that why would the site set up the match analyzer in that fashion?
Thus I never use the match-up analyzer.
But Diamond Dope is a [b:baabfa6043]great[/b:baabfa6043] tool for reading the cards. I use it mostly during post frenzy to clarify close decisions. I love the site. It's good to see the tremendous effects that different parks have on the cards too.