Odds

Odds

Postby nevdully's » Sat Sep 03, 2011 3:20 pm

What are the odds of a pitcher committing 4 balks in one inning?
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Postby drfreeze49 » Sat Sep 03, 2011 3:30 pm

Bob Shaw record 3 in 1 inning 5 in a game (real life baseball 1963)...I guess for the total number of games played total by all I would guess that the occurance although strange can happen...

On May 4, 1963, [b:b81e7d0f97]Bob Shaw of the Milwaukee Braves[/b:b81e7d0f97] tied the record for most balks during an inning [b:b81e7d0f97](3)[/b:b81e7d0f97], set a new M[b:b81e7d0f97]ajor League record for balks in a game[/b:b81e7d0f97] (4), AND his team became the first ever to commit [b:b81e7d0f97]six balks during a nine-inning game.
[/b:b81e7d0f97]
Did you know that on August 7, 1984, Joe Hesketh was called-up by the Montreal Expos and[b:b81e7d0f97] before he ever threw a single Major League pitch, umpires called a balk on him?[/b:b81e7d0f97]
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Postby macnole » Sun Sep 04, 2011 4:30 am

well clearly that depends if you think the system can be modeled as Bose-Einstein, Fermi-Dirac, or Maxwellian.

I'd say we go with Maxwellian assumptions declaring quantum assumptions as negligible, therefore precisely the odds are one in a nanillion.
:)
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Postby macnole » Sun Sep 04, 2011 4:31 am

oh...unless it was a wednesday; in that case it would be highly likely and equal to a coin flip.
That's part of the normalization group of formulae.
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thank you macnole

Postby kupfernick » Mon Sep 05, 2011 7:27 pm

for proving you DO have to be a rocket scientist to win at Strat online!
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Postby macnole » Mon Sep 05, 2011 10:59 pm

8-)
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Postby ADRIANGABRIEL » Tue Sep 06, 2011 10:57 am

I think it depends on who the umpire is.
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Postby Treyomo » Tue Sep 06, 2011 12:12 pm

Bet it was Balkin' Bob Davidson behind the plate.
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Postby Treyomo » Wed Sep 07, 2011 12:36 am

By the way, what are the odds of going 0-13 on any night with 5 teams that include 1 team in the finals (where you lose your best SP in the 4th in injury and give up 10 runs subsequently), 1 that is the best team in a 24 team league, and 2 other first place teams?
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Postby Munich_Man » Wed Sep 07, 2011 7:09 am

[quote:921b4be5c7="treyomo"]By the way, what are the odds of going 0-13 on any night with 5 teams that include 1 team in the finals (where you lose your best SP in the 4th in injury and give up 10 runs subsequently), 1 that is the best team in a 24 team league, and 2 other first place teams?[/quote:921b4be5c7]
Your odds, or a normal manager's odds?
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