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Catchers Interference
Posted:
Fri May 25, 2012 5:20 pmby danielz
Has anyone ever watched or listened to a lot of major league baseball games?
If you answered yes, how many times has there been catchers interference?
Almost never, but I am seeing this come up quite frequently. Either the code should be changed or this should be dropped completely.
Posted:
Fri May 25, 2012 7:19 pmby hackra
It seems to me that this comes up once or twice per season in MLB....and I do not watch every game.
Posted:
Fri May 25, 2012 8:37 pmby lanier64
This article should explain it.
[url]http://baseballanalysts.com/archives/2008/08/the_world_of_ca.php[/url]
Posted:
Fri May 25, 2012 8:47 pmby hackra
I stand corrected, it is 9-31 times per season.
Great link Lanier64 8-)
Posted:
Fri May 25, 2012 11:21 pmby danielz
Interesting. So in a bad year, every team will have 1.
Posted:
Mon May 28, 2012 3:31 pmby danielz
*** TOP OF INNING 3 ***
0 M.McGwire 6-10 Catchers Interference - C b-1 catch-x F9
0 1 M.Williams 1-9 Fly Out (CF) b-0
So they happen once a year per team, but this is my 2nd in 4 days.
Like I said, Change the code or eliminate it.
Posted:
Mon May 28, 2012 9:29 pmby danielz
*** BOTTOM OF INNING 3 ***
0 R.Santo 4-4 Catchers Interference - C b-1 catch-x F9
Make that 3 times in 4 days
My guess is it is happening waaaaaay to much.
Posted:
Mon May 28, 2012 10:10 pmby coyote303
[quote:cc81fddbbc="danielz"]*** TOP OF INNING 3 ***
0 M.McGwire 6-10 Catchers Interference - C b-1 catch-x F9
0 1 M.Williams 1-9 Fly Out (CF) b-0
So they happen once a year per team, but this is my 2nd in 4 days.
Like I said, Change the code or eliminate it.[/quote:cc81fddbbc]
Eyeballing the graph, it looks like there is about 1/100 chance of a catcher's interference coming up per game (counting both teams).
So if you get a catcher's interference in any given game, the odds don't change for the next game. There would be 1/100 chance of having another the next game. The odds of having it happen again in the next three games (like happened to you) is just under 3 percent.
In fact if the very first batter or two gets on by catcher's interference, there is almost 1/100 chance that it will happen again in the same game!
This is a recurring theme in the game. If something rare happens, that does [b:cc81fddbbc]not[/b:cc81fddbbc] mean odds favor it not happening again for a long time. Quite the contrary--the odds don't change.