by egvrich » Fri Jun 02, 2006 2:27 pm
I'm not sure if you are asking for a mathematical explanation or a general theoretical explanation.
But, here goes .....
Any time there is a "split roll" shown, that is the number of "pips" out of 20 that the event will occur. Meaning in Huntington Ave Grounds or Baker Bowl, any time a BP Home Run is rolled there is a 20 in 20 chance of it occuring (100% chance). But in Von's example of Fenway '46, there is an 11 in 20 chance of a 55% chance that the Home Run will actually happen. Finally, in Forbes or Griffith, there is a 0 in 20 chance, so no Ballpark Home Runs will ever occur in those parks.
Ballpark Singles occur on 5 chances or "pips" out of the 108 possible rolls on both the pitcher's and hitter's cards. So, roughly 1 out of every 22 at bats, you will be checking the Ballpark Singles Rating for the park you are playing in. And the same % chances apply, in Fenway '67 you have nearly a 100% chance of the single occuring, whereas in Griffith you have only a 6 in 20 chance (30%) of the single occuring.
Does this help any???? :roll: