by Outta Leftfield » Wed Nov 29, 2006 3:10 pm
Ok, no false modesty here.... I gotta say I predicted this. When I first looked at Yellow Dog's team I wrote:
[quote:badee75e67]What I think of as your Runs Created factor (the raw OBP x SLG number) is extremely high: 0.177786. Anything above 0.15 is pretty good. You should be on a pace to score about 995 runs, but your actual pace of runs scored is closer to 835.
Still, your offense seems so good it's hard to believe it can stay down forever. Of course anything could happen, but I wouldn't be surprised if the offense doesn't turn around dramatically somewhere along the line.[/quote:badee75e67]
YD's team is currently on a pace to score 970 runs. Looks like he's caught up with the expectations?
Later, when his team started hitting I wrote:
[quote:badee75e67]Let's see, now....
At game 42, the team was 20-22, IIRC.
It had scored 217 runs when the RC formula suggested it should have scored 261. In other words, it was scoring roughly 5 runs a game when it should have been scoring 6 runs a game.
Since then, the team has gone 10-5. Great stuff! And it has scored exactly 100 runs in those 15 games. That's a little more than 6.5 runs per game, about where it should be or even a little better.
So the offense seems to be catching up to where it ought to be, and the team is now starting to win. It looks like you're starting to get the pitching straightened out, too. Hang in there. This could turn into a great team.[/quote:badee75e67]
Overall, I'm not at all surprised that the team has vaulted to first in runs scored. I think it's to YD's credit that he didn't mess with his hitting and instead focused on fixing the pitching. Having done that, he in fact has produced a great team. Go, YD! :D