Which Lynn?

[canauscot]

So, I'm a long way into a season in Wrigley with Lynn.
He has been injured striking out against a RH a couple of times so we've got '82 or '86. Should be no problem figuring out which one...in theory.
But...he is badly underperforming whichever card which complicates things.
He is awful versus lefties which says it is '82. But he has only 5 doubles and 24 HR's which screams '86. So who is he?


Lynn vs. L 96 14 2 0 4 8 8 28 .146 .292 .219
CF vs. R 238 59 3 1 20 44 33 36 .248 .521 .340
TOTAL 334 73 5 1 24 52 41 64 .219 .455 .306

[voovits]

I really don't think it's his 86 card.
By the stats, neither year really does make sense, but looking at the on base percentages in his 86 season, I find it hard to believe he'd put up those numbers against lefties in his 86 season.
I also like to think of it this way. It's easier to consistently miss a bunch of doubles vrs righties in his 82 card than it would be to consistently miss all those on base chances vrs lefties in his 86 card.

Having said that, I'm probably wrong. I usually am wrong when I make a similar decision regarding a player on my own teams, so you could probably bank on it being his 86 card.

[BDWard]

I've got Lynn in Wrigley, too. I didn't draft him, as I think he's too expensive for a platoon player, but he was assigned to me when I missed out on Dale Murphy in the 3rd round. I have one ATG IV season under my belt and am just starting my first 80's season. If you had any luck at all with Lynn it would have to be bad! I hope he's gotten all that bad luck at Wrigley out of his system.

I think the larger question is with Lynn performing so badly against LHPs, why has he batted nearly 29% of the time against them? I know, I know, good help in CF is hard to find.

As bad as Lynn is against LHPs his performance against LHPs for you defies probability, but as we all know, that happens with a small sample. Even if he rolled on the pitcher's card 100% of the time against LHPs, one would think that his average would have to be higher than .146. How come when a hitter defies probability, it's mostly in favor of a slump, not a hot streak? Hopefully the dice will remember that they owe you big time on Freddie.

Whichever card Freddie has, it's pretty apparent that he's not hitting his numbers too often against LHPs, so it really doesn't matter what the hits are if you're not rolling them. That being said, in comparing the two cards, even though the '86 card has a higher average than the '82 card against LHPs, the percentage of doubles as compared to his total hits should be somewhat constant. Regardless of the card, it's way off. My guess would be 1986, being the year with the lower percentage of doubles.

As your season progresses, please let us know if Lynn busts out of his slump and let us know which card it is at the end of the season.

Here's hoping your luck improves!

[canauscot]

Lynn, F. (L) vs. L 135 22 2 0 6 12 11 40 .163 .231 .311
CF vs. R 325 83 8 1 21 53 49 48 .255 .354 .480
TOTAL 460 105 10 1 27 65 60 88 .228 .319 .430 $7.16M

Well he hardly ripped it up down the stretch. I benched him against lefties in the playoffs despite being relatively sure it was '86. I had an option, so I took it.

In the end it was....'86. Just awful numbers against lefties.
Perhaps it was making up for Gibson '88 having such success. Almost the same numbers as Lynn '86 and both 1L.

Gibson, K. (L) vs. L 239 72 18 3 16 51 19 63 .301 .356 .603
RF,LF,CF vs. R 381 93 17 3 17 54 51 94 .244 .336 .438
TOTAL 620 165 35 6 33 105 70 157 .266 .343 .502 $3.82M

So much for the tough lefty pitchers in my division argument.

In the end Lynn singled in the winning run in the final...against a righty.

[voovits]

[quote:5dd1a7558b="voovits"]Having said that, I'm probably wrong. I usually am wrong when I make a similar decision regarding a player on my own teams, so you could probably bank on it being his 86 card.[/quote:5dd1a7558b]

I called it. I predicted 82, but also predicted I would be wrong. You should have taken my advice!

Sounds like you won the league. Congrats.