by Outta Leftfield » Mon Oct 25, 2010 3:54 pm
[quote:ec19a5b2da="Mister Ed"][quote:ec19a5b2da="ddeakin"]Posting some info from YountFan that I did not know....
[quote:ec19a5b2da="YountFan"]. A two can only be rolled one way whereas 7 can be rolled 7 different ways (ie 7 chances).
[/quote:ec19a5b2da][/quote:ec19a5b2da]
a 7 only has six chances out of 36[/quote:ec19a5b2da]
Subtract one from any number up to 7 and you have the number of chances. That is, a 7 has six chances, a 6 has five chances...and a two has one chance. When you go to 8 and above, it's a one step decline in chances the further you go toward 12. That is, and 8 has 5 chances, a 9 has 4 chances, a 10 has 3 chances, an 11 has 2 chances, and a 12 has 1 chance.
Another way to think if it is that the closer you are to 7 (which can be a 6-1, 5-2, 4-3, 3-4, 2-5, or 1-6), the better the chance that the number can be rolled. You can only get a 2 by 1-1 and a 12 by 6-6, so they have the least chance of being rolled.
From a practical standpoint, the more hits a card has toward the middle of the three columns, the more explosive the offense on the card, esp if some of those hits are HR. With practice you can get a good feel for the power of the card by simply looking where the hits, walks and HR fall. Given park effects and the often considerable year-by-year variations in offense in leagues that might throw off the stats, this can be an important way of evaluating hitters and pitchers.