Archive of SportingNews.com's old SOM Baseball forum

Just wondering if you've ever had:

A "good" season out of a bad year on a hitter's / pitcher's card?

or

A "bad" season out of a good year on their cards?

I've only played 2 seasons and currently in the middle of a 3rd. Just wondering...

I'll start:

Puckett ('86) Memorial Stadium: .304BA, 64RBI's, .333OB (Late season pickup, but still expected better #'s.

Raines ('89) Memorial Stadium: .232BA, .328OB

Jacoby ('87) Memorial: .268BA, .341OB. (4R card that faced ALOT of RH's)

Dale Murphy ('87) Olympic Stadium: .256BA, .346OBP

A. Pena (RP) ('8 Olympic: 4.89era, 1.53

Here's both, same season:


Toby Harrah, '82
Yr Tm G AB HR RBI BA SLG OBP OPS
SIM KAH 24 83 3 2 .181.337 .310 .647
SIM BOY 109 445 26 63 .326 .542 .386 .928

Kelly Gruber '90, his best card, where he hit:

BA .275
SLG .512
OBP .328
OPS .840
31 HR and 118 RBI in 592 ABs

What'd I get?
BA .233
SLG .405
OBP .305
OPS .710
18 HR and 59 RBI in 553 ABs

AND THAT WAS IN TIGER STADIUM!

I was shocked :shock: when I found out it was '89...injuries left me with 1 of three possible cards, more like '88 than '89 (but much fewer walks):

SIM BEA 150G 594AB 106R 156H 42 2B 1 3B 44 HR 125 RBI 55 RBI 129 RBI .263 .559 .320

Go figure!

Along with the year, there's also the question of the rolls, which can definitely transform a good year into a bad year or a bad year into a good one.

I've won 20+ games, for example, with Don Sutton's worst season and had a terrible ERA with his best season. Lots of other examples....

I think there is at least a 10% to 20% chance of being fairly off from "card averages".. if a card had say 10,000 AB's, you'd see it very close, but inly 300-600 ab's a lot of strange things can happen, and it's all within statistical consistency.