by kptnfmrs » Thu Oct 26, 2006 11:14 pm
Well,... No baserunners = no H&R. So....
According to my Super Advanced SAC/Squeeze chart,
A "D" bunter on a roll of 6/12 pops out to 1B into a DP.
Since no one is on base, the result is a popout.
Greenwell's only chance to reach safely is snake eyes and then rolling 14 or lower on the 20 sided die (match or beat his running rating). That's 70% of a 1 in 36 chance.
This is asinine. Taking Greenwells worst year against lefties and Guettermans best year agains lefties, Greenwell's chances are still way better if he swings away.
Since simple math is beyond HAL's grasp, all bets are off as to what year Guetterman (or Greenwell) has.
BTW, I have the entire Super Advanced rules on an excel workbook.
Interested?