by Palanion » Thu May 08, 2008 12:50 pm
Injuries are pretty normal, really.
Think of it mathematically.
A guy with an injury on 2 or 12 will average the injury three times in one season.
108 different rolls per card.
Average full-time player will get 650-700 plate appearances. Let's say 650 for this example.
Divide 650 by 2 (half rolls on pitcher card, half on hitter card).
Take the 325 and divide by 108 (total rolls on hitters card divided by different rolls possible).
That's 3.
Take a guy with the injury on a 3 or 11, that's two times per card, or 6 times in a season on average.
And more than half the split rolls (1-20) on the injury chart are missed games.
Don't forget that players with 680 PA in real-life can only be injured in-game.
600-679 PA maximum 3 games injured.
599 PA and below, 15 games injured maximum.
Example 1: Eric Davis is a 2-12 injury guy with 483 PA, so he's a 15-game injury risk. He could easily miss as many as 45 games if I get the average three injuries and the maximum games out roll. I just had him play a full season missing only three games. I got the most out of him for sure.
Example 2: Chris Brown is a 3-11 injury guy, so he could get hurt an average six times per season. He just finished a season for me playing 153 games. Again, I got lucky that he missed only 10 games.
Example 3: Jesse Barfield is a 2-12 guy with 658 PA, but he missed 11 games for me in a season that just finished. Since 3 games is his maximum, he got injured at least four times that season.