It's Awfully Quiet on the 1969 Message Board...

Our historical single season sets

Postby kenhutchings » Thu Mar 27, 2008 11:12 pm

[quote:9d85fc53ef="franky35"]You're right Strat was right on with Stroud's triples.

In real life 1969, Stroud got a triple in 2.6% of plate appearances. To account for 24 triples he would have needed 936 PA.

In SOM, facing righties, Stroud's card is 4.6/108 PA = 4.3 % combined with pitcher's cards which are usually pretty low, let's say 2.5% vs. righties. Vs lefties 6.4/108 = 5.9 % combined with pitcher's cards let's say 3.5 %. So, it does appear that SOM has it just right.

Assuming, in your league, he faces 60% righties, he ought to hit triples in 2.9% of plate appearances, which is 17 for a 600 PA season. So he is very lucky in your season.[/quote:9d85fc53ef]

ES is not only very lucky, but he's been extremely lucky. Through Game 156 in my current league, he has only played in 104 games, and has 422 PA (376 AB + 46 W, plus whatever HBP, SF and SH he has). Thus, he has hit triples in 5.7% of his PA. Just think how many triples he could have if he had played in more games. :o

Update: No triples for ES in Games 157-159.
kenhutchings
 
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Where do I sign up for my $100?

Postby decembro » Wed Apr 16, 2008 10:44 pm

I'm afraid I would have an unfair advantage against y'all for shooting the moon. I have the record I have while TRYING to win. Imagine how bad I could be if I didn't try at all!!
decembro
 
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Postby franky35 » Thu Apr 17, 2008 10:55 am

I haven't tried to start the Hearts league because there are a couple of active signups going and it doesn't look like there is enough interest right now. Maybe after the millions of free 86 leagues expire.
franky35
 
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