America's Game League Chat

[joethejet]

Hey Guys,

Started a chat for those of us who like to talk about their teams in good times and (especially) in bad! ;)

Chime in with how you feel about your team!

Jet
www.angelfire.com/games5/joethejet

[joethejet]

Well, we're off to a tough start. Hitting only 244.

I was hoping to have enough speed to generate some O, but so far only six steals. Didn't get Figgins or Crawford so that hurt a bit.

Anyone else checking this out? I'll post some ratings later in the season once pitching usage becomes more clear.

Jet
www.angelfire.com/games5/joethejet

[joethejet]

A very close race so far in the East. We got a sweep tonight to tighten things up. Meanwhile the Central and the West are runaways so far.

Will they remain so????

Jet
www.angelfire.com/games5/joethejet

[joethejet]

I'm going to try and post ratings next week. Teams are stupidly making moves so it makes it tough.

We've struggled out the gate, had a good run and now have lost 5 of 6. I think we'll be there in the end however.

Jet
www.angelfire.com/games5/joethejet

[joethejet]

[code:1:5d3f88f168]
Team… ...O ...P ...F .P+F Overall Div
Toronto 7790 5053 310 5363 2426 W
ButteRR 7813 4886 585 5471 2342 E
Novembr 7909 5030 571 5601 2308 W
LittleB 7290 4790 344 5134 2156 E
NYKniht 7574 5286 193 5479 2095 W
St.Paul 7713 5030 667 5697 2016 E
AlbianS 7220 4611 645 5257 1963 E
Martian 7784 4967 951 5918 1866 W
BoiseBr 6837 4890 116 5005 1832 C
Glendal 7394 5129 446 5575 1819 C
Maplevl 7878 5543 546 6089 1789 C
Washing 7410 5232 446 5678 1732 C
[/code:1:5d3f88f168]
Here are all the ratings together. Comparison versus actual below.

Offense ratings are better higher. Pitching and Fielding better when lower.

Some of the teams that have made tons of moves will be better than the ratings because I took all the teams as of two days ago. For example Washington is now > 7 mil under the cap. Hard to compete doing that.
[code:1:5d3f88f168]

Team Ov Ovrl Rtg Rec Dif
Toronto 2426 1 6 -5 W
ButteRR 2342 2 5 -3 E
Novembr 2308 2 1 1 W
LittleB 2156 5 4 1 E
NYKniht 2095 6 3 3 W
St.Paul 2016 7 8 -1 E
AlbianS 1963 8 5 3 E
Martian 1866 9 4 5 W
BoiseBr 1832 9 6 3 C
Glendal 1819 9 7 2 C
Maplevl 1789 11 11 0 C
Washing 1732 11 9 2 C
[/code:1:5d3f88f168]
The Ratings would say that Butte should win the East with Little B competing and the other two causing trouble. November and Toronto battle it out in the West and the Central is putrid and no one will finish above .500.

The ratings are dead on for the Central. All those teams aren't very good and they all are about the same. Should be a close race for the division, but no WC chances.

Toronto isn't performing to the ratings primarily because their rating is skewed becaus they are SO good v LHP. The Knights are overperforming primarily due to their +6 in one run games and 6-2 in xtras. Not sure their pitching is as good as it's been, but they have outstanding D which is the most variable (read luck factor) in the ratings.

In the East, Butte just hasn't been up to snuff versus division opponents. Don't know if it's a match up thing or bad luck. Clearly the pythagorean would say they should be better. The other teams are middle of the pack type teams which can always surprise with a little luck.
[code:1:5d3f88f168]

Team Of ...O Rtg Run Dif
Novembr 7909 1 6 -5 W
Maplevl 7878 2 7 -5 C
ButteRR 7813 3 4 -1 E
Toronto 7790 3 4 -1 W
Martian 7784 3 1 2 W
St.Paul 7713 4 7 -3 E
NYKniht 7574 6 8 -2 W
Washing 7410 8 5 3 C
Glendal 7394 8 5 3 C
LittleB 7290 9 8 1 E
AlbianS 7220 10 9 1 E
BoiseBr 6837 12 11 1 C
[/code:1:5d3f88f168]
Interesting to note that the two best hitting teams are underperforming. Primarily because they are VERY good v LHP and haven’t faced as many as the ratings expect. Washington is a bit over due to their destruction of their team. Most of the rest are pretty close.

[code:1:5d3f88f168]
Team PF .P+F Rtg Run Dif
BoiseBr 5005 1 5 -4 C
LittleB 5134 2 4 -2 E
AlbianS 5257 3 4 -1 E
Toronto 5363 4 7 -3 W
ButteRR 5471 5 6 -1 E
NYKniht 5479 5 2 3 W
Glendal 5575 6 7 -1 C
Novembr 5601 6 2 4 W
Washing 5678 7 10 -3 C
St.Paul 5697 7 7 0 E
Martian 5918 10 9 1 W
Maplevl 6089 12 9 3 C
[/code:1:5d3f88f168]
Boise is under, probably because fielding is the biggest variable in the equation. I think it’s because of the timing nature of the X-Chart good/bad rolls. November is over, but it’s going to be if it continues to get < 3.00 ERAs from guys like Cueto, Wheeler and Marmol. Only one guy on that staff has struggled, and it’s not *that* good a pitching team. They’ve spent less than any team that hasn’t made a ton of moves. The rest are pretty close and could change somewhat.

In any case, the ratings would project that Butte will come on in the East with the Buzzards (+8 in one runs and 8-3 in xtras) will continue to hang in there unless the odds on close games even out. The other two teams are the types of teams that can get hot and make a run. The ratings aren’t bad, just not top notch.

In the Central it should be close, but Boise and Glendale are, ratings-wise, the best two teams.

I would expect Toronto to get better, but they have big hole to climb out of. November will likely cool off some, but they are a good team. The Knights are overperforming right now, but should contend for the WC. I expect martian to start struggling in a tough division.

Ok, that’s the ratings. What do you guys think?

Jet
www.angelfire.com/games5/joethejet

[themilles1]

Wow , Looks like a whole lot of work . You've really got this down to a science. Thanks for doing it. A couple of the guys on my team really don't fit but so far so good . Good Luck Dan (Rain)

[joethejet]

Thanks. Yeah, it takes a bit of time, but I have it down pretty well now.

Miles, you have a pretty darn good team. The ratings would expect that you'll do well.

Anyone else out there?

Jet
www.angelfire.com/games5/joethejet

[reggie reigns]

Impressive, and very interesting. I had no idea people took it to this level of analysis...but rock on!

Thanks for all the work, and good luck!

[joethejet]

Thanks, I hope it's enjoyable.

Just hoping the ratings are right. Usually there's one team that over performs and one under. I'm just hoping I'm not the one that's under! ;)

Jet
www.angelfire.com/games5/joethejet