NLD 30 - Smell the glove!

[joethejet]

I don't sim so if you're referring to me, I have no idea. Just saying my experience with simming was that it was pretty erratic in terms of wins and losses. Where you finished in hitting and pitching didn't vary as much.

The Pen particularly seems like it would be hard to sim due to the differences in the game engines.

Jet

[superflymacdaddyjuice]

Nah I was referring to semper. He mentioned simming. But is moving furniture around pretty steady.

[joethejet]

[quote:f4d59661e6="superflymacdaddyjuice"]Nah I was referring to semper. He mentioned simming. But is moving furniture around pretty steady.[/quote:f4d59661e6]

I see ya. He's trying to optimize something. QUICK! Someone pick up Beato so he can't pick him up only to drop him again!!!!!!!!

8-)

Jet

[BigAlric]

still has Guerra on his roster.

[superflymacdaddyjuice]

I don't know what more can be done about that. :roll:

[Semper Gumby]

Come on guys I only processed 121 add/drops this time! :D

I leave for Moscow today so my roster moves must stick for at least a week. :wink:

Yes, the sims drove the add/drop activity as I identified how many relief innings needed and where the league's L/R balance fell et al.

I'm challenged to exploit the sim trends as the 2011 player pool lacks depth (e.g., LF and 3B) where you can improve your win shares with a heavy reverse player. Frankly, the lopsided players like Matt Joyce - under-preform the sims even with HAL adjustments.

In 70% of the sims, Joyce and Hosmer hit 150 to 200 points below their actual OPS! No surprise - Matt Joyce isn't found in many running leagues. Otherwise, I would stick with Eric Hosmer and Joyce with the number of RHPs here.


The players that simmed well are rarely active in TSN. Looking at the leagues, you can't find Morse, Holliday, Aramis Ramirez, and Hamels. :roll:

Go figure -


[b:e9356b5b14]TRENDS[/b:e9356b5b14]

My season goes as Anibal Sanchez pitches. If he breaks even, my guys are a .500+ team.

SP quality matters more than I expected. Divisional park mix kills quite a few SPs - the Home + Away splits revealed lopsided results.

Starters with HR issues - going to be a long season. Jim Shields yielded no less than 40+ HRs and led the league in a few sims.

It surprised me how much relief pitching mattered for a few teams - when I substituted - those teams went from .500+ to worse. Otherwise, many team overpaid for the relief innings as their starters put them in holes - i.e., mopup pitching is a premium here.

Slugging LHBs are platinum - next draft I am grabbing a few.

Players like Jose Reyes and Mike Young - great batting averages yet their RC/27 is anemic - :shock: it might be the HAL lineup.

When the season starts, I will set your rotations and lineups.

[joethejet]

Hey Semper,

Thanks for the info. It's interesting w/o your giving anything away.

Big M, you have any generalities you can speak to?

As for DT, I assume he'll be making moves this weekend. He said he was super busy. It is what it is.

Jet

[joethejet]

Hey Guys,

Just wanted to wish you all a Happy and Blessed Easter. Hope the Easter Bunny brings you everything you want. EXCEPT an NLD Title. I already asked him for that. ;)

Jet

[Semper Gumby]

Joe

I recall you or Wineman have the offline game version too

So, you might agree that the sims, without making individual manger adjustments, are hit & miss with forecasting overall team outcomes. When I think I understand the underlying code logic used by Strat - the game engine then throws me a curve using Skip Schumaker at 2b over Jamey Carroll versus LHSP

I checked all lineups to avoid a scrub starting over the clear choice player. Where I could, I overrode HAL batting Ty Cobb last and Mendoza first.

Of course, HAL does a nice job managing the bullpen but I am sure checking the settings such as quick hook, avoid LHPs make a huge difference in usage and results

I trust the sims trends in split ratios, balance, relief usage, ballpark effects, and fielding. Directionally, the sims reveal huge holes in your team and areas for improvement. When Bernie gets the x fielding % stats releases, you can quantify using Mike Morse in LF over Matt Holliday. While not a huge improvement, the move away from the 4 in the corner made a noticed difference in the outcomes.

It would be fun to net play the season with a few of you and see how well we beat the online HAL

[joethejet]

Don't have the computer game any longer. Sims didn't seem to help us much when we did it.

So, do tell, what are the "huge holes"? I think I know what our strengths and weaknesses are, but it's interesting to see if the Sims show the same.

Jet