NLD XXII

[qksilver69]

Well Buerhle's now at 55 IP and a 3.58 ERA after a nice outing tonight.

And no, I wouldn't agree that Sheets is better vs LH than Buerhle vs RH. Sheets 21 pts OB & 11 pts of XBH vs LH. Buehrle 25 pts of OB & just 5 pts of XBH. Sheets 2 pts of GIDPs vs 10 pts for Buerhle. So Buehrle gives uo more singles, but a lot less XBH, and many of those singles get erased by higher GIDPs.

I'm not sure where my D is that bad. I play a 4 in LF, 2s up the middle, 3s everywhere else except a 4 at 1B vs LH. A few high E rates but nothing special. I am sure there are better Ds but my O should make up for it.

And I think my O is the best out there, again, when healthy. My record vs LH is better than RH, and pretty even in BA & OB, just slightly lower in SLG vs LH but that mostly due to my park. I think we're underperforming a bit now, especially Utley who is hitting for power but not much else. Other than that, no real surprises on my O except maybe thought Nick J a little more SLG in my park. I don't think we're getting a ton of BP HR rolls there, but I'll take his OB.

Anyway, no reason for me to think those moves won't work out, we'll see where we are before the add/drop deadline.

[joethejet]

Hmm, I guess it depends on perspective. Without BPHRs, Sheets has 32.8 TBs v LHB, Buehrle 31.3, BUT, Buerhle has a bp hr and he has a higher ob too. At worse they are equal. In your park, I have sheets with a 768 rating (includes fielding, wp, etc) while Buehrle is 792. And, Buerhle has all the intagibles (hold, wp) so on just pure card, Sheets is slightly better. I think I count OB as more of a negative than you do. <shrug>

As for your fielding, it's not horrible, but it's the third worse in the league. You have plus arms at CA which hurt and a 3 and a 4 in the OF also doesn't help. Plus, Aybar and Hall v LHP drag you down a bit. Maybe I have your platoons wrong. I have Aybar at 1b and Hall at 3b and Hall at CA. Also, D Young as DH. I think that it's just that you're not really good anywhere and you're bad in a couple spots. That drags you down.

Your offense is the best, especially when you're healthy. Not disputing that. Maybe we can agree on this, when you're healthy and you have Dempster or CC going, and Balfour is rest, you're the best team. ;) The rest of your pen is suspect and, I think, the back end of your rotation is meh.

It's always fun to see how these things play out. Cool SOM talk! :)

Jet

[joethejet]

NP,

I dont' think your team is as bad as it has played. I think you should score more runs for sure. But, the ratings would say that your team is weaker than most in the league. Ratings have been wrong before. Honestly, I didn't totally review every team to validate against the ratings. I pretty much just post them and see where the chips fall.

[b:59b25e0d96] Back to what's going on in the league [/b:59b25e0d96] We played three Extras with C2 :shock: and lucked into a couple of wins. We blew two 9th inning leads, but came back to win one. <whew> Just another night in the NLD! Wow, I just looked! We left 21 :shock: :shock: :!: runners on in game 3 and manged to win it! In game one (which we also won) we left 13. In the game we lost, only left 8. Go figure. :roll:

Jet

[joethejet]

Ok, I'm sure you guys are waiting with bated breath for the analysis of the final three teams. ;) So, without further ado, away we go (hmmm, can I get a few more cliches in here? :D)

Smokey - Smoke is right about his ratings, a little low in O, but right on the money on D. Record is a little low, but as close as things are, that can change quickly. WAY below in Run Diff! He *does* have the best rating in the Central so, assuming C2 comes back to Earth, the ratings would expect him to close that gap and make it a close race. Wright and Holliday aren't doing much for him, neither is Upton. True he's in Petco, but the road numbers aren't appreciably different. Shell has been lights out for him and Shouse has 5 saves. Not bad for a .58 guy! ;) Murphy and Markakis and Panda *are* hitting well for him. Victor too.

Warrior - Again, pretty much on the ratings. A little low in run diff, O and overall, but a right on in pitching. A pitching team so will need to win the close games. A little below the Expected W/L so he's probably not winning most of those right now. Youky is his only real expensive hitter and he's struggling, prolly more than he should be. Polanco is also notable in his lack of average. It *is* a 1-13 park after all. Kuo and Geary have been as advertised and Pinto has kept the ball in the park v LHB. Santana has struggled a bit, but Shields and Volquez have picked up the slack.

Big M - A tiny bit low across the board, but close overall. Harden has been awful and that's hurt him. Really no one on his pitching staff has stood out. Offensively, Molina has been a surprise, but Kinsler is a little low and Han Ram has struggled. Same for Furcal. In fact, vizquel has a higher average! :shock: Furcal's OB has been pretty good however.

Overall the ratings would say the following:
East - Probably the toughest division. Jeep and Stoney are neck and neck with Big A not very far back. Hawk *should* be in the East again next time around. (By the ratings, not necessarily my thought) - [b:f50db7ebdb]Reality[/b:f50db7ebdb]- Stoney is running away with it and Jeep is struggling to keep up due to his lower than expected offensive output. Big A has struggled across the board and Hawk is winning close games to keep him out of the cellar.

Central - Most balanced of the divisions Smokey has the best ratings and would be expected to win it most of the time. The other three are so close you really can't pick between them.
[b:f50db7ebdb]Reality[/b:f50db7ebdb] C2 has majorly over performed offensively and is in command. The only thing that has kept him from running away is his lousy one run game record. Smokey is within striking distance. The other two have pretty much slightly underperformed. If C2 was in line, this division would be right on the ratings. ;)

West - Ratings say that the Burgundy should win it and Silver will be in the WC race. NP and AT should be also rans. [b:f50db7ebdb]Reality[/b:f50db7ebdb] Silver and Burgundy are flipped and AT has beaten enough LHP (14-5) to stay above .500. NP should be better than he's played by the ratings.

The ratings are what they are. You never know what's going to happen. Usually you have one too high and one too low. Right now, Big A is the under and AT and Hawk are over.

FWIW,

Jet

[Stoney18]

[quote:f2af711d47]And I think my O is the best out there,[/quote:f2af711d47]

Dave, isn't the the best O out there the one that scores the most runs? :D :D

[qksilver69]

Talk to me 56 games from now fuzzball! :P

[superflymacdaddyjuice]

I was waiting... i am unsure if my breath was baited or not.... Thanks for the ratings and analysis as always.

[joethejet]

Smoke, you're welcome, but I'm trying to figure out what you want to catch with the bait in your mouth! ;)

OTOH, if your breath was bated, then it means ‘with restrained breath’, a perfect description of the state in which you sit holding your breath waiting for me to tell you if your team is any good or not! :P 8-) :lol: :lol:

Jet

[joethejet]

Ah, maybe this is what you were trying to catch!

[img:d00bedca0c]http://ak.imgfarm.com/images/gossip/celebrities/060409heather.jpg[/img:d00bedca0c]

[Ninersphan]

Those 2 aren't really my type I like these better:

[img:739e0d3c78]http://i.cdn.turner.com/si/pr/subs/swimsuit/images/09_bar-refaeli_02.jpg[/img:739e0d3c78]

[img:739e0d3c78]http://cullrich.files.wordpress.com/2008/04/marissa-miller.jpg[/img:739e0d3c78]

[img:739e0d3c78]http://www.fhmonline.com/images/media/100sexiest/200803312102575236346_Megan-Fox.jpg[/img:739e0d3c78]

And has there ever been a more perfectly named human being than Megan Fox????