by maligned » Sat Oct 07, 2006 12:08 am
The relief pitching available will be unbelievable.
Cla Meredith's allowed OPS stats are better than Mariano Rivera's of last year. If he ends up being an R2, he could be $7.5M.
Also, BJ Ryan, Papelbon, and Joe Nathan all will have stronger cards than Rivera or Billy Wagner of this year. As R1/C6's, they should all be close to $7M.
On the flipside, the starting pitching will be a little down. It seems that any top pitcher will have a salary about 5% higher than a pitcher from the '06 set with comparable stats because of offensive production around both leagues being about 5-6% higher across the board. With that said, there's no one that compares with Clemens from the '06 set. Francisco Liriano's stats as a no star SP are slightly worse than Felix Hernandez and Roy Halladay of last year. With the description of pitcher inflation I gave, I would guess Liriano will have a salary around that of Hernandez and Halladay from this year.
Among the *SP's, Santana will be tops. However, even he had worse overall allowed OPS numbers than last year. I imagine his card will be worth about the same as it was this year. In summary, I don't expect any SP to reach the $10M mark, and Francisco Liriano will probably end up being the highest priced pitcher--probably worth close to a million more than Santana.