by honestiago1 » Mon Oct 31, 2005 4:27 pm
You're going to hit, because it's Fenway. However, I believe the value of speed is maximized in pitcher's parks, where the value of advancing the extra base becomes more pronounced since fewer players get on base. I think your speed advantage will be less in Fenway, as will your pitching and defense. Everyone's lineups automatically improve there (including yours). Think a hitter's park hurts your team overall.
I had a similar team in Wrigley (though my pitching was not near as good as yours). Raines, Butler, Sandberg, Strawberry, Hojo. Got stolen bases and homers, and ended up 80-82. However, as I said, I did have poor pitching (mediocre year out of Key, Soto gave up tons of HR's, and I picked up Sutcliffe's '84 year too late to help me). I ended up winning games (when I DID win) with offense.
My next team, I went whole hog pitching, bunting, h&r'ing and SB, with mostly good defense (Whitaker, Clark, Fernandez, Harrah, Wathan, DwMurphy, Matthews, P. Bradley). That team doesn't wow anyone with offense, but it has posted 16 shutouts (as a team) and an ERA under 3.00.
Anyway, I think you'll win more than you lose because you have Clemens, Morris, Jackson and Henke. I'm not entirely sure about how many games you'll win, but I do think that Fenway is going to cost you some games. Of course, if a majority of those .300 cards come in (Raines, Wilson, Wathan, to name 3), you might end up outscoring people. At least you'll be competitive in small parks, as well as at home!