Is this team doomed? - Run Differential question

[teepack]

I have a team that is 55-54 and just 3 games out of the wild-card lead. However, my run differential is a whopping minus-76. Should I be concerned? Am I doomed? Does run differential really matter?

[jodynadu]

What's your team?
What's ballpark and your divisions ballparks?
Are you lacking in runs scored or runs allowed?

In general, W's and L's matter - run differential is only a statistic.

[JdEarly]

With that run differential, you're lucky to be sitting on a 55-54 record, to be sure. But I think that, with 63 games to go, you will be able to tell whether or not you're doomed very soon. Like, within the next week. If you don't fall too much more off the pace in the next 21 games, I think you'll be able to make this thing a real race. Good luck.

Link us.

[teepack]

My park is Great American. The team in first in my division is in Wrigley. There is also a Tropicana and Camden in my division.

I won two last night, so now I am 58-56. I am six games behind the leader in my division but am now only two games back of two teams in the wild-card. My run differential is now minus-63.

There are currently seven teams within five games of each other in the wild-card hunt. Here are the records and run differentials for each:

Riders 60-54 (+39)
Runners 59-55 (+23)
Nines 58-56 (+5)
Empire 58-56 (+36)
Boobs (Me) 58-56 (-63)
Monkeys 57-57 (+21)
Kilbournes 55-59 (even)

According to run differential, then I am in by far the worst shape, while Ridgers and Empire seem to be the strongest. So this must mean that I am doing one whale of a job of managing this aggregation of bums and stiffs, right?

[cristano11]

more likely its just random variation of results...ratio of runs scored to runs allowed is the best indicator of how a team will perform...but even a 162 game season is not a large enough sample...ive had some teams that should have had a 1.10+ ratio finish close to 500...its just the random variation of the rolls, the outcomes, etc...

[CHARLESBELL]

Isn't it also at least partly due to the type of team and park? Since you are in GAB, a hitters park, it could be that you are getting enough runs to win most games but your pitching is getting slaughtered by wide scores in the losses. Just a thought.