Let's see if I have learned anything

[Paul5757]

Total Number of combinations Probability per roll
2 1 2.78%
3 2 5.56%
4 3 8.33%
5 4 11.11%
6 5 13.89%
7 6 16.67%
8 5 13.89%
9 4 11.11%
10 3 8.33%
11 2 5.56%
12 1 2.78%

Total 36 100%

From: http://strato.berce.us/

In his best OPS year (and assuming my math is correct), Henderson will HR in 5 of 108 at home vs. LHP (not very good, in my opinion) and 7 of 108 at home vs. RHP (OK, but maybe not worth $5 mil plus). Seems to lose value in Dodger Stadium, but I could be wrong.

[1crazycanuk]

Thanks for showing that cuz I'm not real good at math. lol I'll take your word for it.

What's the probability that a team with power hitters can go from .340 OBP to .315 in a week?

[DOUGGRAY]

[i:4e652911cb]That means that if you roll that 1-8 to get Hrbek's BPHR at home then another roll is done and if it is 1-4 it is a HR. If it is 5-20 it is a flyout. [/i:4e652911cb]

This is incorrect, I might intrepet the above wrong but...

The HR 1-8 is completely ignored in the game we play. Only the # is applied and a roll for the park is done (1-4) for you park above.

The cards are actually designed to be run 2 different ways, ballpark effects ON or OFF.

Bombers, maybe you have been setting the wrong values to players.... Hrbek's # HR 1-8 in kingdom is roll for HR 1-18 not roll for HR 1-8 then roll for HR 1-18

[DOUGGRAY]

D. Henderson has the following offensive years.

vs LHP
OB/TB/HR/BP
29.8/44/2/5
39.7/71.5/11/8
32.3/38.4/0.6/1
49.7/65.9/5/8
41.9/51.5/3.5/6


vs RHP
OB/TB/HR/BP
30/38.4/2.4/6
31.4/35.4/2/3
26/22.1/1.1/2
31/32.6/3.1/6
40.2/43.3/5.1/8



conclusion, he has one good balanced year (year 5). He has 2 monster years vs LHP (year 2 and 4). If you have see lots of LHPs then take the risk with him because he has a 3 out of 5 chance to kill LHPs for you.

Sadly he does have 4 bad years vs RHPs.

the only other bonus is that he has very solid D

[LMBombers]

[quote:c46468b0a3="penngray"][i:c46468b0a3]That means that if you roll that 1-8 to get Hrbek's BPHR at home then another roll is done and if it is 1-4 it is a HR. If it is 5-20 it is a flyout. [/i:c46468b0a3]

This is incorrect, I might intrepet the above wrong but...

The HR 1-8 is completely ignored in the game we play. Only the # is applied and a roll for the park is done (1-4) for you park above.

The cards are actually designed to be run 2 different ways, ballpark effects ON or OFF.

Bombers, maybe you have been setting the wrong values to players.... Hrbek's # HR 1-8 in kingdom is roll for HR 1-18 not roll for HR 1-8 then roll for HR 1-18[/quote:c46468b0a3]

I think you misinterpreted what I was trying to say. What I meant was that if Hrbek has a BPHR on a roll of 1 on the little white die and 8 on the two red dice then you would roll the 20 sided die with he BPHR rating of whatever stadium you were in. In Dodger Stadium a result of 1-4 would be a HR. A roll of 5-20 would be a flyout.

Therefore Hrbek looses much of his power playing half his games in Dodger Stadium.

[DOUGGRAY]

[i:673c87deb9]What I meant was that if Hrbek has a BPHR on a roll of 1 on the little white die and 8 on the two red dice then you would roll the 20 sided die with he BPHR rating of whatever stadium you were in.[/i:673c87deb9]

okay, yeah all card info after the # are totally ignored because we have ballpark effects turned on.

[DOUGGRAY]

[i:5e682075bc]Therefore Hrbek looses much of his power playing half his games in Dodger Stadium. [/i:5e682075bc]

I dont see it that way though.....I guess if you are comparing to the kingdom ut the values we calculate for the cards are ballpark independent meaning # and > are not added to the raw values so even a park with 1-4 PBH ratings will give Hrbek more power then what his card has.

[LMBombers]

[quote:4a77348dea="penngray"]the values we calculate for the cards are ballpark independent[/quote:4a77348dea]

Who is "we" and where can I find these calculations?

[DOUGGRAY]

:D sorry, "We" being the way strat-o-matic calculates the ratings data for the cards. 200x as the spreadsheet numbers that come out for that game. I count up the card values the same way they do, I wrote some software to do it for the 80s game way back when it first came out.

sure you can have all the data (I think Im missing 6 players though). send me your email in PM.