Tour Top 50 - Final

[LANCEBOUSLEY]

Looks like

unctarheel will replace colorado and that Uncleny will break the tie all of which leaves me 13th after the tie-breaker... :( :cry:

[JEFFFESPERMAN]

For the record, I would prefer that everyone be required to play the same number of events so as to remove the guess work. It's hard on the nerves having to decide whether to play the seventh event when you don't have the final results of the sixth event to refer to.

[cristano11]

so do we have a final 12 yet? if not, how close are we? are we going to need to wait til all events complete, or can it be determined before then?

[LANCEBOUSLEY]

looks to me like all three of the peeps we are waiting on are in league 5, 33 games to go.

[AZHawg]

Sorry guys. I was unable to participate in event 7 because I was without a computer for a long stretch. Thus a live draft for me was impossible and in fact will likely always be nearly impossible due to my work situation these days.

I do not subscribe to the strategy of sitting out a season and believe Teddy Ballgame was right to play both games of that doubleheader in '46. My apologies to those who played in 7 events.

[mesquiton]

With 30 games to play in [url=http://fantasygames.sportingnews.com/baseball/stratomatic/2007/league/standings.html?group_id=7048]Ev7Lg5[/url] and 72 to go in [url=http://fantasygames.sportingnews.com/baseball/stratomatic/2007/league/standings.html?group_id=7408]Ev7Lg6[/url], the following 9 managers have clinched spots in the Champions League:
[b:66618fde18]
Terry101
cristano1
Detroit-Tigers
Roscodog
AZHawg
keyzick
James Schubert
stevep107
hendrix08
[/b:66618fde18]
That leaves 3 spots to fill. The following 9 managers, listed in order of current rank, still have at least a mathematical shot at the final 3 spots:
[b:66618fde18]
colorado99
(tie) fjzahn
(tie) uncleny
(tie) akindian
UNCtarheel
fowldawg
Bbrool
bob711
Cummings2
[/b:66618fde18]
Both [b:66618fde18]colorado99[/b:66618fde18] and [b:66618fde18]uncleny[/b:66618fde18] are within 3 games of their division leads. If [b:66618fde18]colorado[/b:66618fde18] wins his division, he'll likely retain his spot in the finals, otherwise will drop out. [b:66618fde18]Uncle[/b:66618fde18] is 10 games below .500 with 30 to play, but still has a low score to drop (74 in Ev6). He will need to go at least 14-16 in his last 30 games (slightly better than his current pace), to break the tie without winning the wildcard or division. Otherwise, he too would drop out.

[b:66618fde18]UNCtarheel[/b:66618fde18] is leading his division by 6 games, and can clinch a spot just by winning 15 of his final 30 games (and his division, but no playoff wins needed). He would join [b:66618fde18]fjzahn[/b:66618fde18] and [b:66618fde18]akindian[/b:66618fde18] for the final 3 spots if [b:66618fde18]colorado[/b:66618fde18] and [b:66618fde18]uncle[/b:66618fde18] drop out. However you slice and dice it, those 5 have the best chance of filling the final 3 spots, and all are either finished or in Lg5. [b:66618fde18]Bbrool[/b:66618fde18] and [b:66618fde18]bob711[/b:66618fde18] are also in that league, but are within 4 and 5 losses of elimination, with 30 games to play.

Defending Champ [b:66618fde18]Cummings2[/b:66618fde18] and [b:66618fde18]fowldawg[/b:66618fde18] are both in Lg6, with 72 games to play.

[b:66618fde18]Fowldawg[/b:66618fde18] is leading his division by 11 games and can still tie for a spot if he goes 44-28 in his remaining 72 games, and wins his league title.

Last but far from least, [b:66618fde18]Cummings2[/b:66618fde18] still gets to drop his low score (68 in Ev6). That will leave his magic number to tie at 105, and 106 would all but clinch his spot. He already has 48 wins under his belt in Lg6, and is battling (with me for one, alas!) for his division lead, with 72 games to go.

So...if he can finish 58-14, he's in without even winning his division (tho that record would no doubt win it). Or he can go 53-19 and win the wildcard, or 48-24 and win the division, and he's in without winning a playoff game. Or he could go 43-29 and win the division+semis, or even 38-24 would do it, if he won it all.

In short, looks like we still ain't heard the last from our defending Champ, and it's very possible Lg6 will need to finish before the Champions League is set!

[LANCEBOUSLEY]

colorado needs 85 points to stay in a tie. that means he needs at least 19-11 and a wc spot or 14-16 and his division or he could go 24-6 and not get anything and still stay in a tie.

uncle needs 96 points. thats 30-0 and the wc or 25-5 and the division but at least 20-10 and win it all.

[mesquiton]

In previous posts (which I will edit) I said [b:1ee079c9c3]Cummings2[/b:1ee079c9c3] needed 133 points in his final league (Ev7Lg6) to tie for the last spot in the Champs League. [b:1ee079c9c3]Wrong!!![/b:1ee079c9c3]

Turns out I mistakenly thought he had completed only 4 events and could not drop his low score. In fact, he has already completed 5 events, so will drop his low score (68 in Ev6). That means his magic number to tie for the last spot is only 105 (not 133), and 106 would all but clinch his spot!

So...our defending Champ is still very much in the mix! He already has 48 wins under his belt in Ev7Lg6, and is battling (with me for one, alas!) for his division lead, with 72 games to go.

So...if he can finish 58-14, he's in without even winning his division (tho that record would no doubt win it). Or he can go 53-19 and win the wildcard, or 48-24 and win the division, and he's in without winning a playoff game. Or he could go 43-29 and win the division+semis, or even 38-24 could do it, if he won it all.

In short, looks like we ain't heard the last of [b:1ee079c9c3]C2[/b:1ee079c9c3] after all, and very possible Lg6 will need to finish before the Champions League is set!

[FRANKZAHN]

Uncleny has only played in 5 events. So he still gets to drop his lowest score. The lowest average he can get is 96. He only needs to win 75 games in event seven to improve his average and move ahead of me and akindian.

[mesquiton]

Once again, I stand corrected. Obviously neglected to note that [b:d87243527d]uncleny[/b:d87243527d] also still has a low score to drop, and indeed needs only 75 wins in his final event to break the tie.

He currently has 41 wins with 75 games to play. So, he needs only to go 34-41 in his remaining games (about the pace he's on) to break the tie and all but clinch his spot.

Apologies to all for my blunders, but hey, just makes things that much more exciting, no? :?