Why is This Team Last in Offense?

[cummings2]

Interesting... I was running some numbers earlier. According to a simple formula Maligned dropped over in the strategy forum OBP * SLG * ABs is a way of roughly predicting the ammnt. of runs a team should/will score, so if the result is higher than the actual ammt. of runs the team has scored the offense is not being very efficient.

Now I am not a stat guru or anything like to that, but IF that formula holds water your offense is not being very productive, you should've scored about 19-20 runs more by now so regardless of the overall low numbers I think it'd be good to make the offense more efficient, that's why I suggesed not small balling in the top of the order.

Now, from what I see in your stats there is a bit of a low % of SB: .676 -I usually aim for a .750.

Essentially what I am trying to say is that there are 2 problems I see in your offense:

1 Overall low numbers

2 Inefficient usage of the production you are getting.

In re: #1 and your question, I have had teams that start in strange funks and then turn it around, keep in mind that the overall numbers will look low because of the slow start, so it has helped me to calculate stats from the moment I make the changes, in your case it'd be from tonight or whenever you do your shakeup. If I don't sometimes I fail to see the progress the team IS making.

the low number of succesful sacs leads me to thinking that those are mostly bunts as opposed to sac flies and the really low performance in H&R may be because the wrong batters are trying to do so, this might be a factor for the low SB%, keep an eye on who is getting caught stealing and at what point it happens to determine if it IS costing you runs or if it was a gamble worth taking. I still hold to the belief that sacs, bunts and poor base running are hurting you a bit, that's why I suggested resetting all to normal...though who knows, maybe your settings are already there.

[cummings2]

One thing that has helped me when shaking a team into form is making the bulk of my changes in one go, otherwise if I change lineups one day, tendencies another, roster moves the following week, what happens is that I don't really know what is working or not, it all becomes like a puddle, so I'd suggest observing until you spot the problem and then make the changes all at the same time and then observe over at several series.

Most of your players should be performing better anyway.

BTW I agree with Geekor and would play Harris vs LHP as well, his offense will stink but playing a 4 in 2B is a funky thought IMO.

All best of luck!

[1crazycanuk]

I hear ya. :( My team's offence always sucks. One other possible reason is that maybe you get more results on the opponent's pitchers' cards than normal. It's all about the roll of the dice eh? I wouldn't give up Wells. As much as I would want more offence I would not give away my better defensive players to get it.

[bleacher_creature]

I have spent hours since yesterday investigating various options to increase this teams OBP. Especially after last nights scores of 0-1(L); 2-9(L); & 10-3(W).

Something had to be done. I looked at trading F. Garcia for bats etc..., but didn't see options that could fill as many needs as RELEASING DAVID ORTIZ (plus D. Roberts)!!!

Sink or swim, here I go (obviously GLOAD is the key to the changes, where I will lose HRs, but offer a more balanced lineup being less suscpetible to lefties - hope I'm right for once). With OB chances:

Lineup vs. LHP

1. Freel, Ryan (R) LF 45.6
2. Gomez, Chris (R) 2B 45.3
3. Rolen, Scott (R) 3B 69.2
4. Dunn, Adam (L) 1B 39.8 (4 HR; 6 BP HR - a fit for SAFECO @ #4)
5. Posada, Jorge (S) C 42.8
6. Gload, Ross (L) DH 38.2 (56.3 TB; 3.8 HR; 6 BP HR)
7. Wells, Vernon (R) CF 35.9 (5.4 HR; 8 BP HR)
8. Cruz, Jose (S) RF 38.2
9. Vizquel, Omar (S) SS 27.6

Lineup vs. RHP

1. Davanon, Jeff (S) LF 44.5
2. Freel, Ryan (R) RF 47.7
3. Posada, Jorge (S) C 45.9
4. Dunn, Adam (L) 1B 41.3
5. Rolen, Scott (R) 3B 42.9
6. Gload, Ross (L) DH 40.4
7. Vizquel, Omar (S) SS 42.3
8. Wells, Vernon (R) CF 33.1
9. Harris, Willie (L) 2B 40.2

You could say I weaked my lineup vs RHPs, but I increased my OBP at the top of the order, plus am less susceptible to matchups later in the game. Not only that, I feel I HAD enough pop, and it was lack of OB that was killing me. Plus Gload is +8 clutch from both sides, obviously well suited for the 6th spot.

I know Posada 3rd is questionable, but I want his walks in front of Dunn.

More consistency is the bottom line as far as what I need.

[goredsox33]

safeco killed my only team there...
i had RJ and santana and a decent bullpen
but my team just didnt hit!!!

76-83 going into tonite...VERY dissapointred

[LANCEBOUSLEY]

move rolen to 3rd vs rhp

gload to 5th and posada down to 6th or so.

my thoughts for they're worth. (not much this late on a friday)