by J-Pav » Tue Jan 17, 2006 12:11 am
[b:4e2bd44ce8]Aray0113[/b:4e2bd44ce8]:
I set most (even my SPs) on avoid the weak side batter. I don't believe they pitch around the weak side. I believe that when they get tired, they'll be removed before facing weak side hitters. So if HAL is ready to replace Weaver, he'll do it when Giambi comes to the plate.
I remember back in 2002 when I first tried it with a starter, I was absolutely sure HAL would remove the pitcher for the third batter of the first inning if he was a weak side hitter (ie the first lefty that Weaver faces). When this didn't happen, I guess I just assumed that there was actually some logic to the whole avoid-weak-side-batters thing (for SPs).
I'm hoping that HAL uses the setting as [i:4e2bd44ce8]I[/i:4e2bd44ce8] would use it (probably not). But truth be told, I've never gone back and checked it out by watching box scores or anything like that, so I could be guilty of perpetuating a superstition rather than passing on anything factually useful. But I also don't recall having a situation jump out at me where clicking the "avoid" box somehow hurt me. I still do it on my most current teams.
Lastly, I don't know that there's any "tips" that will take you to the top. The guys who win generally play a lot. The guys who win but don't play a lot generally spend a lot of time with the cards in deep analysis.
As I've written in the threads, I study every team that I compete against that wins a championship, and compare those teams with the other winning teams. Piles of insights come from this one technique, for me anyway. When I wrote the secret formula stuff, I think I had a 20 some team sample (and Bigmahon added another 20 or so) which demonstrated that on all 40 Champs teams, the manager had 1s and 2s at CF and SS w/ a handful of 3s at 2B (always Loretta or Carroll). That was 40 out of 40 teams.
In my opinion, if you're not doing at least this much, then you're looking West for a sunrise. Having said that, once you've played a dozen teams, then all the fun is in the outside the box ideas: injury prone teams, $20 mil pitching staffs, home run record teams etc. That's why [b:4e2bd44ce8]helium56[/b:4e2bd44ce8]'s post is so intriguing to me. If this actually works, then this is like three standard deviations outside the box and I would consider it a major insight. However, I believe it worked in this particular example because of the level of competition, not because the offensive value of Barry Larkin offsetting the four on defense at SS was overlooked.
I guess we'll have to wait and see...
:)