by MARCPELLETIER » Wed Jan 25, 2006 5:55 pm
Coffeeholic,
I understand your point, and you have the logic just about right.
In my response, earlier, I raised the point that, when you get into details----of course if you wish to get into details!!!---then you have to consider the price of all back-ups.
In your example, you compare player A vs player B + player C. But in fact, chances are that player A also has a back-up. Let's call the back-up: player D.
You might say: "Well, no, player A is my everyday guy: he doesn't need back-ups." I respond "yes, but you still have to spend on four back-ups; how do you spend the money on them?".
In the case where you have nine full-time player, and four back-ups at the cost of 0.5M, then your comparison should be:
player A + 4/9 player D vs player B + player C.
To ease my life (it happens that I sometimes like to have life easy!!! :lol: ), what I do is that I forget all about player D, but I reduced the pricing tag of player C. So I end up with the following comparison:
player A vs player B + [player C at a reduced price].
Also, you have to check the injury rating of player A as well, especially if player A is not a 600+ AB.
Even when a player is a 600+ AB, if he has an awful back-up, than his value is reduced by about 0.2M. 0.2M might not seem a lot, but if you have nine 600AB+ players with four awful back-ups (compared to a roster with four respectable back-ups), you are wasting 1.8M of value. If my estimation that 1M is worth approximately 1.5 wins, you start the season with a 3 less potential wins. Just shows the importance of having respectable back-ups even with a full healthy line-up.
I probably suspect that all this very too complicated for nothing---and I agree. :wink:
Take home messages is: make sure you have quality back-ups everywhere!!! you better spend 0.6-0.7M than waste your 0.5M on a someone who will hurt you!!!