Best start ever?

Postby dennisfs561 » Wed Feb 01, 2006 7:25 pm

I had a team that was 30-6, won 106 games, then got swept in the 1st round by the wild- card team (2nd team in my division)that I had dominated all year. That deserved a DO'H :shock:
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Postby doug_tucker10 » Wed Feb 01, 2006 9:00 pm

ive had a 2005 team start out at 34-11 and then play about .500 ball the remaining 117 games and proceed to get knocked out in first round of playoffs. Im not positive but i think the Yankees a few years ago played .500 ball most of the season and made playoffs and WS after team had started out season red hot.

im a believer in both the player and team normalization conspiracy :)
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still on fire one-third of the way through the season!

Postby teepack » Fri Feb 03, 2006 7:45 am

Back-to-back sweeps, a seven-game winning streak, up to 41-13! I'm now on pace to win 123 games.

Boy, I sure hope you guys are wrong about this team normalization thing.
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Postby bigmahon » Fri Feb 03, 2006 8:11 am

Great run teepack! It is a nice looking team, but jeez, not THAT nice... :wink:

I'm sticking with my prediction: 95 - 100 wins.

Good luck!
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Postby teepack » Fri Feb 03, 2006 9:50 am

I'd love to get my first 100-win team out of this! But heck, I'd take 95 wins if it meant a division title and a shot at another World Series title. I'm not gonna get greedy!
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Postby SGTD » Fri Feb 03, 2006 1:56 pm

I went in the other direction, was hanging with you and have went on a normal streak: 3-12 :( . Nice run so far, my guys will turn it around and battle Big. Hate to see you lose when the Playoffs start if you have a monster season at the end :lol: . SGT D
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Postby bigmahon » Sat Feb 11, 2006 3:36 am

teepack, I see your team is still going strong, but I wondered if you noticed that there are now two teams within 4 games of your league leading record. One of them is mine! :D
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Postby Ry420guy » Wed Feb 15, 2006 12:36 am

<<Tee, I've had a few of these fast starts this season, and every single time HAL has put the brakes on somewhere after the halfway point. J-Pav and I have discussed this, and there seems to be some sort of team record normalizer built into the program. >>

you're wrong, all of this can be explained by regression toward the mean. i would bet you like one million dollars that there's no "team record normalizer" built into the game engine. for one thing, that would be quite a silly and pointless feature for them to design.
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Postby dennisfs561 » Wed Feb 15, 2006 5:04 pm

My best team so far. Started at, I believe, 30-5, with a 22 game winning streak in the mix. Got swept in the 1st round of playoffs though :shock:
http://fantasygames.sportingnews.com/baseball/stratomatic/2005/team/team_other.html?user_id=39001
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Postby Great Unwashed » Wed Feb 15, 2006 8:33 pm

There was a big stink a while back about a HR normalizer, which was supposed to have been turned off. I'm not sure if it was or not, but I've noticed that there seems to be performance normalizers for offensive players. Regression towards the mean can explain some of it, but with the hundreds (thousands?) of leagues that have been played you would expect to see more extreme performances than we see. The results should be a bell curve with a few wild and extreme results on either side, and I think those results are being normalized towards the middle. It's just subjective experience, but I've come to count on a SHARP improvement from players that are having a slow start, and vice versa.

I agree with those that don't think that there's a team record normalizer, per se - that wouldn't make much sense and would be very hard to do - but I do think that the sudden change in fortunes of certain teams can be explained by several players that are off to a fast start being cooled off.
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