by joethejet » Wed Sep 17, 2008 6:52 pm
for kicks and grins, here are the updated ratings. I didn't go back and correct the RP IP (or roster moves) so the ratings may have changed one or two spots from what is shown here.
Hawk and Big A continue to be upside-down. Big A has to be the unluckiest team I've ever seen. No way he should be this bad. Hawk's pitching has come back some, but still is over performing by a good margin.
Warrior and to a lesser extent Smokey, are making the most of their run differentials.
Silver is real close on the O and D comparisons so his team must have good Karma.
AT has the best run Diff, but the 8th best record so he must have bad karma (and an underperforming offense)
BigM and C2 are right on track on every rating.
Jeep's pitching is a little low, but it hasn't seemed to faze him. Seems to be making the most of his narrow run diff too.
We're a little below in every category (but not too much) but lousy in Run diff. We've been lucky to stay close with that differential. Hopefully we can close that gap and make up some ground.
Smokey offense is good, pitching is bad (opposite of what *should* happen) and his record has suffered. Although, his Run Diff is about right. He's scoring when he needs to.
Stoney is another hard luck team. Ah, there it is. Look at that 15-28 one run record. :shock: Ouch.
33 Games to play, here are my fearless, ratings-based predictions:
Big M will hold on in the West. Jeep will make a run for the WC and we'll continue to flirt with .500. Big A?? Who the heck knows. He could be a spoiler for Jeep and my WC chances, but it appears this team is just cursed.
In the Central, the ratings would way that Hawk's pitching will continue to come back to Earth and that AT will overtake the other two clubs.
In the west Silver has been good in one runners (+6) while C2 is only a game over .500. Ratings say that C2 pulls away if the breaks even out.
The WC is pretty open with all but two teams either in first place or within 5 games of the WC and two teams are tied for the spot right now. Given the current situation, Jeep has the highest rating of those competing for that spot, but if Big A begins to play to form it would open the way for Silver or one of the other teams hanging on. Don't count out Niners or our squad in that race if they can hit a hot streak.
[code:1:181f4a5185]Team O P F P+F Overall Div
BigAlrc 8308 4854 336 5190 3118 E
cummng2 8272 4609 664 5273 2999 W
BigMahn 7713 4710 99 4810 2904 E
JeepDrv 8225 5056 292 5348 2876 E
ArrylTr 7924 4975 107 5082 2841 C
Wineman 8104 4701 598 5300 2805 E
NinersP 8149 4867 527 5394 2755 W
Silvers 8480 4897 835 5732 2748 W
Stoney. 8415 4977 712 5688 2726 C
Warrior 7870 4805 628 5433 2445 W
Smokey. 7554 5012 242 5254 2300 C
Hawkeye 7776 5032 550 5583 2193 C
Team Ov Ovrl Rtg Rec Dif
BigAlrc 3118 1 12 -11 E
cummng2 2999 2 3 -1 W
BigMahn 2904 3 1 2 E
JeepDrv 2876 3 3 0 E
ArrylTr 2841 5 8 -3 C
Wineman 2805 5 7 -2 E
NinersP 2755 7 7 0 W
Silvers 2748 7 3 4 W
Stoney. 2726 7 11 -4 C
Warrior 2445 10 4 6 W
Smokey. 2300 11 7 4 C
Hawkeye 2193 12 3 9 C
Team Of O Rtg Run Dif
Silvers 8480 1 1 0 W
Stoney. 8415 2 5 -3 C
BigAlrc 8308 3 11 -8 E
cummng2 8272 3 4 -1 W
JeepDrv 8225 4 2 2 E
NinersP 8149 6 9 -3 W
Wineman 8104 6 7 -1 E
ArrylTr 7924 8 2 6 C
Warrior 7870 8 11 -3 W
Hawkeye 7776 10 8 2 C
BigMahn 7713 11 12 -1 E
Smokey. 7554 12 6 6 C
Team PF P+F Rtg Run Dif
BigMahn 4810 1 1 0 E
ArrylTr 5082 2 5 -3 C
BigAlrc 5190 3 9 -6 E
Smokey. 5254 4 12 -8 C
cummng2 5273 4 5 -1 W
Wineman 5300 5 7 -2 E
JeepDrv 5348 5 9 -4 E
NinersP 5394 8 4 4 W
Warrior 5433 8 3 5 W
Hawkeye 5583 10 3 7 C
Stoney. 5688 11 9 2 C
Silvers 5732 12 10 2 W
Team Ov Ovrl Rtg Run Dif Dif
BigAlrc 3118 1 12 -11 E
cummng2 2999 2 3 -1 W
BigMahn 2904 3 2 1 E
JeepDrv 2876 3 5 -2 E
ArrylTr 2841 5 1 4 C
Wineman 2805 5 10 -5 E
NinersP 2755 7 7 0 W
Silvers 2748 7 3 4 W
Stoney. 2726 7 5 2 C
Warrior 2445 10 9 1 W
Smokey. 2300 11 11 0 C
Hawkeye 2193 12 5 7 C
[/code:1:181f4a5185]