by Ninersphan » Mon Jan 05, 2009 8:22 am
[quote:4342ba2fc9="AeroDave10"][quote:4342ba2fc9="Ninersphan"]What his batting nummbers have to do with it, is he MIGHT not get a TSN card. Those are pretty good stats for a guys with under 275 pa's and I've seen TSN keep those guys out. I'd be wary of having to depend on him yet. :wink:[/quote:4342ba2fc9]
Based on 2007, everyone who had similar stats and PAs got a card:
Milton Bradley
Matt Kemp
Jeff Keppinger
Josh Hamilton
Josh Phelps
Hank Blalock
Rick Ankiel
Jayson Werth
Travis Buck
Ryan Spilborghs
Cristian Guzman
The only who didn't get a card who would have qualified for that group is Cody Ross, who had only 193 PAs and 1.064 OPS.
Therefore, the only impact guys (min. 100 PAs) I predict still WON"T get a card are:
Nelson Cruz (132 PAs, 1.030 OPS)
Chris Dickerson (119 PAs, 1.019 OPS)
Rafael Furcal (163 PAs, 1.012 OPS)
Mike Napoli (262 PAs, .960 OPS) is questionable, but will probably get one.[/quote:4342ba2fc9]
Didn't say for sure he wouldn't, I'd just be leary. I also haven't chacked his injury status, if he sustained a significant injury he probably will get a card, which was the case for a couple of the guys you have listed above.
BTW, I agree on the 2 of the 3 guys you have listed, Furcal MIGHT get a card, BUT he'll be an injury 7 and still be a 7mil + card if he gets one.