Distressed Free Agent Insights

[Semper Gumby]

In my day job, I research and analyze capital market anomalies for my firm's advantage.

While those skills have little applicability in TSN, I thought to add to the dearth of forum discussion topics on those 70s free agents who are unlikely to be on opening day rosters. :shock:

Unlike the ATG / 200X /80s formats, I'm amazed at the minimal debate in this forum on the various replacement players that find there way onto rosters after the season's start.

To that end, I will profile several usable players that meet a targeted criteria (less than 49% roster completion using YountFan's site) and see where it goes.

Who knows - we may even have a little debate on when to get that player aboard.

[Larryrickenbacker]

Semper Gumby,

Please; I need all the help I can get, and I'm not alone!

Larry

[Semper Gumby]

Using [b:ddd2a1d6c3]YountFan[/b:ddd2a1d6c3]'s information - I've formulated the following distressed free agent profile

[list:ddd2a1d6c3][b:ddd2a1d6c3]YountFan[/b:ddd2a1d6c3] data completed seasons under 47.5%

Roster salary under $7M[/list:u:ddd2a1d6c3]

Depending on tonight's game results, first agent to discuss:

[b:ddd2a1d6c3][color=blue:ddd2a1d6c3]MARK LITTELL[/color:ddd2a1d6c3][/b:ddd2a1d6c3]

[img:ddd2a1d6c3]https://www.beckett.com/images/pgitems/337050101.jpg[/img:ddd2a1d6c3]

[jayhawk81]

since you research and anaylze capital market events, please let me know when this sequence of 6 standard deviation events will be over.

[durantjerry]

Main drawback I noticed is he walks a lot of guys, which can hurt him as a closer. I guys who have a lot of walks in pitching parks, as they are less likely to give up the three run bomb after they walk a couple of guys. Mark Littell as closer on an Astrodome title winner:
12 13 48 14 128.0 104 63 54 99 119 7 3.80 1.59
Home:8 5 24 7 68.2 54 24 20 51 67 2 2.62 1.53
Road:4 8 24 7 59.1 50 39 34 48 52 5 5.16 1.65

[LMBombers]

Best thing about Littell is the small number of BPHR on his card. He is good in a HR park.

[ths92110]

That's a great looking card up there, but the guy is unusable against LHs which leaves him overpriced and, as noted, distressed. :D

[LMBombers]

I just noticed something. Littell is listed as a LHP in the 70's game but appears as a RHP on the baseball card pictured above. :?

[Semper Gumby]

[quote:173181d329]Littell is listed as a LHP in the 70's game but appears as a RHP on the baseball card pictured above[/quote:173181d329]

Hmmm ... [b:173181d329]Mark Littell[/b:173181d329] is listed as a RHP in the 70's game.

After using Littell for a few games, he exhibited weak tendancies against RHBs (used him as a set-up when I had LHSPs starting) and didn't find the strike zone in favorable pitching situations.

Given his less than stellar abilities against LHBs, I dropped him as I required a relief pitcher to handle RHBs only. Mark's struggles rendered him useless. Otherwise, I would have kept him if he nailed RHBs.

Of course, I went back to the well and grabbed [b:173181d329]Kent Tekeluve[/b:173181d329] for the third time. Reviewing other leagues, I suspected Kent's 1977 season which oddly fares poorly in playing.

Not sure why -

[Semper Gumby]

Next up

[img:8f5eefa42d]http://www.collectomaniacs.com/roy/1974AL.jpg[/img:8f5eefa42d]


[b:8f5eefa42d]Mike Hargrove[/b:8f5eefa42d] doesn't fit the overall distress criteria but I rarely see Mike's card in leagues or read banter on the boards.

After I botched my draft, I found the team without a viable 1B player. I had [b:8f5eefa42d]Matty Alou [/b:8f5eefa42d]slated but knew he didn't serve my team concept in the long run.

Tried and dropped [b:8f5eefa42d]Cecil Cooper's [/b:8f5eefa42d]worse season & [b:8f5eefa42d]Bob Watson's [/b:8f5eefa42d]off season cards, I grabbed Mike knowing he had four keeper seasons with one subject to a 15 game injury. Knowing some in the game feel walks are overrated, Mike probably doesn't get the use as I'd expect.

[url]http://www12.asphost4free.com/StratRat/hitter_cards.asp?playerid=34960&ballpark=All[/url]

With Mike's 1977 card in play here, he has been a twin killer with a high OBP versus both sides of the pitching rubber and a power stroke against LHPs.

Don't take my word for it, see for yourself

[url]http://fantasygames.sportingnews.com/baseball/stratomatic/70s/team/team_other.html?user_id=47345[/url]