by PossibleJohn » Sun Mar 05, 2006 11:07 am
When I consider my LF and RF defense, first I look at two things. What stadium am I in? How many BP chances do my pitchers have?
You're in a stadium where roughly 50% of all BPH chances will leave the park (in which case, it doesn't matter who you've got in RF and LF), and 50% will test your RF and LF (which means you'd better have some range to make those outs, or at least arms to turn the Texas leaguer into an out at third maybe).
All of this is mitigated in a big way by the fact that you've chosen only one pitcher with any significant BPH chance--that's Willis--and that's only against righties, which means your LF will get tested from time to time.
I would extend this same analysis to another question, too. Check out your opponents' hitters and parks and determine whether there are enough BPH chances to justify the benefit of upgrading defensively.