by BDWard » Tue Jun 30, 2009 9:06 am
Well, as I sit here and write yet another tome on the mystery card change issue, I want to say that the last thing I want to do is get into a pissing match with an intelligent, passionate, experienced and respected member of the online community. To a certain extent, the mystery card switch issue has overshadowed the other great ideas for improving the 70's and 80's games.
In that vein, DJ, the ideas contained in your original post about revising salaries, carefully choosing any new players so as not to imbalance the player pool, updating the stats package and adding features that make it easier to track the mystery card are great and worthy of serious consideration. Also, as one can ascertain from the number of posts, the mystery card change issue obviously merits serious debate.
Regarding the mystery card switch issue, my comments about a manager having a pretty good idea about what he has after 20 or so games were mostly within the context of one year wonder cards and I stand by those comments. We all know successful managers who don't even take that long to launch a player. As Voovits so astutely noted in his post "...there are a few players who have 1 good year which can usually be recognized right away...". I do agree however, that with many players, especially the stars, who often have 3 years with similar numbers, Jim Rice and Eddie Murray come immediately to mind, it takes longer to identify the exact year. But there is a huge difference between trying to identify the exact year and making the decision whether to keep a player. If a manager has got a one year wonder player, say Chris Bando, for example, and he's hitting .140 with no HRs after 80 ABs, it's not important to the manager to be able to ID which bad card he has, all that matters is that he missed out on the one great card. Under those circumstances, 80 ABs is probably a pretty long leash to give a guy. Of course, we can probably all cite anecdotal examples of players with good cards who've started horribly and rebounded to have good years, sometimes after being cut, but in the one year wonder example I gave most managers would probably follow their instincts and launch the guy.
DJ, while the sarcasm is evident in your most recent post, I'd bet my last dollar that you have launched a position player after less than 80 ABs or launched a pitcher after 4 or 5 starts or 6 or 7 relief appearances on more than one occasion. While it certainly takes longer to ID a specific year, it doesn't take nearly as long to determine that a player has a bad card, especially a one year wonder player, and isn't going to help you. As stated in my previous post, if the mystery card year is changed with every trade, such players would be traded, and traded often, until mystery card gold is found.
I guess the point of all this is that while changing the mystery card year during the season has some obvious surface appeal, all of the possible ramifications of such a radical change in the game must be carefully considered before any changes are made.
For the reasons set forth in my previous posts, the same mystery card should be retained throughout the course of the season.
Thanks for giving me the opportunity to voice my opinion.
May the Strato gods smile upon you. - Bernie W