Secret Formula: The Theory in Action

Postby MARCPELLETIER » Sun Nov 22, 2009 12:23 am

[quote:46ad9530c7]He's certainly better than Chris Iannetta at this price, no? [/quote:46ad9530c7]

Actually, J-Pav, I have it that Iannetta is a better hitter than Longoria, at least in neutral settings, with a 70-30 R-L ratio. Iannetta has better on-base, Longoria has more power, but using a traditional linear weight's method, Iannetta comes out better by 3.2%. Adjusted to your current stadium, the difference jumps to 7.2%.

Now, comparing defense between different positions is tough, but I have it that Iannetta is roughly equal to Longoria compared to the bench mark I use for catchers and third basemen. Slight edge for Longoria in the running game, but it doesn't make up for the difference in offense.

But of course, because Longoria's assets is power, his runs and rbis will always look inflated compared to other players...that's the whole issue why sabermetricians don't like runs and rbis.

BTW, I called it "the Dream team" only for reference purpose (this is how the team was called in the initial team). I certainly can understand the tough position of making choices when you don't have the players you first requested.

Good luck the rest of the way. I still put my money on your team for the division.[/quote]
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Postby J-Pav » Sun Nov 22, 2009 2:06 am

I'm talking about as a replacement for Longoria at 3B. My point is that without going up in salary, all that's left is maybe Rolen (I-3), and I would have done that if I had gotten Keppinger to platoon against LHP. But since I didn't, there's nothing left without going up to Glaus or Wright. The combination of hitting equally well against both LHP and RHP makes Longoria a good value in my estimation.

But I just lost another two of three, so...
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Postby Bballboy » Sun Nov 22, 2009 2:49 am

If it helps your case at all, I was inspired by your post and decided to pick the game up again after a LONG hiatus and this team is doing very well thanks to TSF:
http://fantasygames.sportingnews.com/stratomatic/team/team_other.html?user_id=237482

So thank you J-Pav for putting this together and getting me interested again.
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Postby J-Pav » Sun Nov 22, 2009 11:28 am

:D
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Postby BeltranFebles » Sun Nov 22, 2009 6:06 pm

I have to commend J-Pav on this series of posts. It is downright riveting -- I think your team's problems might be due to a lack of offense. Would you consider making any changes at this point in the season?

TVF
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Postby mbertolli » Sun Nov 22, 2009 8:04 pm

Thank you for all your help!

I just drafted for a new leauge this afternoon and got 23 of the 25 players I wanted. I missed out on my 2nd and 13th picks...

Mike.
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Postby Palmtana » Sun Nov 22, 2009 9:10 pm

:D

The pressure is on now. You've only yourself to blame for mediocrity.
Except for HAL of course. Good luck!
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Postby J-Pav » Sun Nov 22, 2009 11:39 pm

[b:c10667fd7e]Aray[/b:c10667fd7e]:

Yes, that is precisely the point.

[b:c10667fd7e]Beltran[/b:c10667fd7e]:

No, I rarely make in-season changes.

[b:c10667fd7e]mbertolli[/b:c10667fd7e]:

GL!
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