by edgecitytx » Wed Jun 09, 2010 9:25 am
Me too, Jet. You're one of the most knowledgeable players here and I've enjoyed the conversation.
I've been in and out of town the last couple weeks, and will be through next Tuesday, but after that, maybe we can discuss pitching a little. We basically agree on hitters, I think (Upton and Blake should not hit as well v. R and aren't in any other league I've seen). And I'm guessing my/Lucky's ratings for pitchers are similiar to yours. But every year there are pitchers who (in the right circumstances) consistently outperform the ratings and I think it's worth a discussion why.
The only surprise to me with Johnson/Tomko is that he's able to do it with them being part of a five man rotation. If I had Randy, I'd probably only throw him against 4 teams (5 if you count mine), and Tomko against 7, but because of the makeup of the league, they don't really hurt him except away against the Gatos and the Antiquaters (and the Antiquaters can't really hurt much of anybody).
Again, I think your individual ratings are great, and so are your individual team analyses. Your team v team ratings are fine if you have a league full of Winemen, J-Pavs, and LM Bombers, great players who put together a set lineup and rotation from beginning to end and dare you to beat them. But it doesn't take into account the unexpected, whether that's players who drop too much or players who matchup and make moves to counter their opponents.
As for my team, it should have been more balanced and I pretty much knew that from the start, wanted to see what would happen in this particular league if I didn't, was just too tempted by LvL. Still contemplating a move to correct that, though I hate to make any big moves late except out of desperation and I'm not there yet.
When you update your ratings, do you account for our opponents the rest of the way? In the wild card race, your division has no weak teams and that has to hurt all of you.
Talk to you soon. Edge