by ClowntimeIsOver » Tue Feb 08, 2011 11:31 pm
The formula for games missed is 1.136 / ((62.53/RA) + .0064). R is the injury Rating. A is the number of PAs an ideal player "would" have if he played every inning of every game. Morneau looks like a #4 or #5 hitter. His stadium would likely be a power stadium, so his team would score a lot. That means a full-time every-inning player would have at least, say, 680 PAs. So Morneau would miss about 46 games, counting "remainder of game." That's more than 28% of the season. So if a comparable bullet-proof player can be found, Morneau would be about 70% of that guy's price.
Here are his card stats: 44.6 OB and 65.3 TB vs. left, with 7 HRs and 8 BPHRs. 57.2 OB and 67.8 TB vs. right, with 6.8 HRs and 8 BPHRs. Bad clutch but low DPs. Good fielder, but only at 1B. Slow.
In 2009, Fielder was SOMEWHAT similar, but only about 4/5 as good in OB and TB chances, and a worse fielder. Fielder cost 7.12 and was bullet-proof. So maybe the injury-5 is a wash with the lesser hitting, putting Morneau around 7.12, maybe 7.75 if a premium is put on the hitting.