Eddy Garabito's Card

[JPGator]

Since Eddy Garabito’s card (from the latest set) has been mentioned today, I have a question about it. Why does he receive an “N” power rating vs. righties when he doesn’t have any chance for a homerun, either naturals or ballpark, vs. RH pitching? In fact, he doesn’t have a chance of a homerun anywhere on his card.

I have to assume that this is simply an uncommon situation, but since approximately 50% of his action is on pitcher cards, won’t he hit a disproportionately high number of homeruns due to the “N” off of pitchers (assuming a natural distribution of ballparks and not 12 Petco’s)? Shouldn’t he instead have a minor chance for a hr on a roll of 2/12 or 3/11? If he had continued his real- life pace, he hit 1 hr in 88 total ab’s, so round to about 1 per 80 ab’s, and project out to 5 hr’s in 400 ab’s which would seem to be trending into “W” territory. Is the difference that he hit 1 hr in 62 ab’s vs. RHP or that against RHP his ratio of hits to homeruns was 1 in 22?

[RiggoDrill]

Good question for stratomatic. I don't know how they come up with some of this stuff... :?

[milezd]

maybe an N rating on one side is equivalent to 1HR in 88 at bats?

[LANCEBOUSLEY]

I'm guessing in the replays he needed the N vs rhp to replicate his stats. He would get whatever HR's off of the pitchers cards.

[bleacher_creature]

[quote:e352a35c2c="akindian"]I'm guessing in the replays he needed the N vs rhp to replicate his stats. He would get whatever HR's off of the pitchers cards.[/quote:e352a35c2c]

Eddy had 1 HR in 70 PAs vs RHPs. I'm sure they have a formula under which he squeeked through on getting the "N".

I'm no math wizard, but for fun let's assume:

1. A Neutral park (1-10 HRs).
2. AVG pitchers has about 2 HR chances with 2 BPHR chances.

Chance for HR off Eddy's card ever = 0. Nada.

Percentage chance for HR off pitcher's card in this example: [3/104] = 2.9%.

In 70 PAs vs RHP, 50% will be on pitcher card = 35 ABs on pitcher's card.

.029 X 35 = [b:e352a35c2c]1.015 HRs[/b:e352a35c2c]. Strat-O-Matic gets it right again. Amazin'.

[i:e352a35c2c]EDIT: BTW, I had decided to use the 2HR/2BPHR/neutral park factors before I knew what the answer would be. That was just a pure guess based on what I perceive to be the AVG card.[/i:e352a35c2c]

[bomp helium]

good call, bleacher... 8)