HAL on the up and up?
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HAL on the up and up?
by stlouisnathan » Mon Nov 07, 2011 9:20 pm
Just wondering if anyone else has noticed if it seems that maybe HAL is on the fix? Such as does it seem that one team gets a lot of hitters card rolls while the other team get s alot of pitcher's card rolls. Or when there are a lot of wild pitches at crucial times. Or the BP singles or HRs seem to defy the odds. Or back to back same rolls that are either really good or really bad? Just wondering if anyone else has noticed these sorts of things.
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by chasenally » Mon Nov 07, 2011 10:49 pm
Watching the replays has really had me checking out the game more. I would watch the replay and be sure that the other team was getting more batter roles (1-2-3) than I was. I was sure I was out number 3 to 1. I would go back and man I was wrong. It worked out in my favor almost as much as not but always very close to 50%.
I have found that HAL works the game well for me and most of the times he makes the moves I make and when he doesn't he doesn't have much to work with as I play mostly in $80MIL leagues.
As for the WP and PB I wve seen many of those but for and against me.
I have found that HAL works the game well for me and most of the times he makes the moves I make and when he doesn't he doesn't have much to work with as I play mostly in $80MIL leagues.
As for the WP and PB I wve seen many of those but for and against me.
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by gbrookes » Wed Nov 09, 2011 9:27 pm
Please don't be too upset with me for saying this....but you have to remember that the games are based on random die rolls. Random means exactly that. It doesn't mean that it will be split evenly according to probabilities, except over a VERY long period of time.
My comment is based specifically on an experience that another gamer had with a particular player about 2 years ago. He had a good hitter with a big salary (say over $6,000,000), but the hitter was horrible for the first 100 games of the season. During the last 60 games he performed a little better than the expected results, but not enough to make up for the horrible first 100 games.
The point is, that you have to remember that dice can do nasty things on a consistent basis, sometimes for a long while at a time. It is just the nature of a random die roll and a card that has nice results and bad results. And, I think that the bad results really can occur consistently over an extended period of time. It is on the leading or trailing edge of a bell curve, for a normal distribution, according to statistics theory/math.
Of course, the same thing can occur in a good way. I usually put that down to "good strategy" on my part! ;)
My comment is based specifically on an experience that another gamer had with a particular player about 2 years ago. He had a good hitter with a big salary (say over $6,000,000), but the hitter was horrible for the first 100 games of the season. During the last 60 games he performed a little better than the expected results, but not enough to make up for the horrible first 100 games.
The point is, that you have to remember that dice can do nasty things on a consistent basis, sometimes for a long while at a time. It is just the nature of a random die roll and a card that has nice results and bad results. And, I think that the bad results really can occur consistently over an extended period of time. It is on the leading or trailing edge of a bell curve, for a normal distribution, according to statistics theory/math.
Of course, the same thing can occur in a good way. I usually put that down to "good strategy" on my part! ;)
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