18 Straight Rolls on Batters Card Against My Team...

18 Straight Rolls on Batters Card Against My Team...

Postby Proverbial Psalms » Thu Nov 10, 2011 2:48 pm

[url]http://fantasygames.sportingnews.com/stratomatic/league/boxscore.html?group_id=148729&g_id=209[/url]


See boxscore, across two innings- bottom of 3rd and bottom of 4th.

As far as the odds of this happening against a team, it is equivalent to flipping a coin 18 times and having it come up heads every one of those 18 times.

The odds? 262K to 1. :roll:
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Postby mykeedee » Thu Nov 10, 2011 2:55 pm

Wow, don't play the lottery...or maybe you should, you're due :mrgreen:
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Postby Mr Baseball World » Thu Nov 10, 2011 3:01 pm

Am I misreading or did it happen again later in the game.......18 in a row in the 6th 7th and 8th???????
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Postby nevdully's » Thu Nov 10, 2011 3:12 pm

yup 18 the second time. :shock:

I'll keep all my other opinions about this to myself.
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Postby Mr Baseball World » Thu Nov 10, 2011 3:14 pm

Makes one wonder some things, doesn't it? Only game 35 of the season though........
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Postby Proverbial Psalms » Thu Nov 10, 2011 3:45 pm

Wow I didn't even see that occur again later.

I know the second time was influenced by the F0 (HAL apparently decided to leave Wetteland in as the mop-up until the offense tired of scoring)).

I am pulling boxscores for some leagues that will give me insight for what happens, "dice-roll-distribution" wise, when a pitcher tires (i.e. F8, F7,... F0)

So far it is interesting data :wink:
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Postby Valen » Thu Nov 10, 2011 4:49 pm

Interesting. Be informative to see what you dig up.
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Postby geekor » Thu Nov 10, 2011 5:47 pm

I wish there was a greasemonkey script that would tell you the % of plays for each person on your team that came off their cards, and a total for your entire team at the bottom. Would be interesting to see that data compared to wins/losses and struggling players
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Postby rburgh » Thu Nov 10, 2011 5:52 pm

Most of the time, you will have about 6500 PA's in a season. So that means that if you have played in 40 leagues, you have had about 260,000 chances to start a streak of 18 somethings in a row. When the odds of that streak continuing are 50-50, it is to be expected that you will have seen this.

Your observation about the fatigue rating are interesting. Maybe that's how they do it - Batter is automatically a 9, and roll is on pitcher's card (F rating/(F rating +9)). I have never thought of it that way, but I will have to check it out with my computer game.
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Postby FRANKMANSUETO » Thu Nov 10, 2011 6:06 pm

I am not even going to comment on this. Just looking at this irritates me to another level. :evil:
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