by Mean Dean » Sat Dec 17, 2011 4:06 pm
Which is probably a reasonable thing to think. Also, Latos only has two years of service time, so CIN has got him for quite a while.
I don't think I include quite this much in the trade as CIN, but it's not [i:15f526b79e]too[/i:15f526b79e] crazy, given the value of Latos and the question marks around the guys they gave up (Volquez's career is in severe crisis, Alonso was somewhat of a disappointment in the minors, Boxberger is a wild reliever, Grandal has a limited track record.)
I think odds are, however, that Alonso and Grandal become quality regulars and maybe the other guys contribute something, which would make the deal favor SD, especially if Joey Votto ends up leaving Cincy anyway (or perhaps even worse, negotiating a Ryan Howard-type contract!) It is also significant what the Padres get for their previous 1B of the future, Anthony Rizzo (or, I suppose, for Alonso). Playing either of them in the OF, especially the Petco OF, would be highly unwise.
Overall, this one will take a few years to sort out.