by coyote303 » Mon May 28, 2012 10:10 pm
[quote:cc81fddbbc="danielz"]*** TOP OF INNING 3 ***
0 M.McGwire 6-10 Catchers Interference - C b-1 catch-x F9
0 1 M.Williams 1-9 Fly Out (CF) b-0
So they happen once a year per team, but this is my 2nd in 4 days.
Like I said, Change the code or eliminate it.[/quote:cc81fddbbc]
Eyeballing the graph, it looks like there is about 1/100 chance of a catcher's interference coming up per game (counting both teams).
So if you get a catcher's interference in any given game, the odds don't change for the next game. There would be 1/100 chance of having another the next game. The odds of having it happen again in the next three games (like happened to you) is just under 3 percent.
In fact if the very first batter or two gets on by catcher's interference, there is almost 1/100 chance that it will happen again in the same game!
This is a recurring theme in the game. If something rare happens, that does [b:cc81fddbbc]not[/b:cc81fddbbc] mean odds favor it not happening again for a long time. Quite the contrary--the odds don't change.