by Al Hogg » Fri Apr 21, 2006 8:39 am
Regarding Penngray's slip up on the Great American Ballpark rating:
With a "1" ballpark single rating:
(5/108)*(1/20) = .0023 ballpark singles per plate appearance
With a "4" ballpark single rating:
(5/108)*(4/20) = .0093 ballpark singles per plate appearance.
So, the difference is going to mean lefties would bat about .007 higher than expected from Penngray's rating. And that's just in 81 games at home, so a difference of .0035 over the course of the year. Even with a squad of all righty starters, lefties will probably just get a little over half of the opponents ABs, so the difference in opponents' overall batting average will be about .0018. And that assumes that everyone has ballpark singles on their cards, which is mostly but not universally true. All in all, it's probably not enough of a difference to be noticeable over the course of a single season.
Again, I have no objection to Tom taking Dodger Stadium. People should get what they expected to get during the draft.
I was just thinking about what the difference would be and thought I would pass along the information.
Heading to work now, I am hopeful we'll be ready for the West this evening.